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I agree that the economy is usually the top issue, but if he does what Bush Sr. did, which was piss off his base, he’ll be in trouble.

As to the economy, if you look back at past recessions, there’s almost always something triggering them (not taught in economics classes, by the way). It could an oil price spike, or a huge Regulatory Barrage (Bush Sr. gets full credit for that idiotic move). So far, despite the ‘presents’ left for him by the outgoing Obama Administration, Trump has loosened up regulations big-time, and oil is still pretty stable - not to mention that our production is through the roof.

So that leaves sabotage, such as interest rates spiking for no reason - hopefully that doesn’t happen.

I agree that the economy is usually the top issue, but if he does what Bush Sr. did, which was piss off his base, he’ll be in trouble.

I agree. But I think that is a huge if. I don’t expect anything close to that. I think he’s quite aware of how timing plays a part in all this stuff. A perfect example was the wall. A lot of leftists were laughing at him for not coming through with his most important campaign promise, yet here we are. And where will that be in 2020?

Trump seems to have his finger on the pulse of his base, unlike the “standard issue politician” called George Herbert Walker Bush, who seemed to think he could talk his way out of exposing who he really is. With Trump, once he was elected, it seems that what you see is what you get.

And this is interesting regarding Trump’s “lying”:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gbPULTssuD4