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Trump in trouble in Florida poll , Joe Biden is the clear front-runner in the Democratic 2020 field.
Politico ^ | March 6, 2019

Posted on 03/06/2019 9:06:16 AM PST by SMGFan

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To: lodi90

I was in Miami recently and everyone was speaking Spanish among themselves. But they are middle-class hard-working people who are proud that they came here through the front door, not the back door. Many of them are actually quite wealthy too.

So I guess in South Florida, the Hispanics are more conservative and the non-hispanics are more liberal, with the opposite being the case in Northern Florida. I recently saw interviews with Hispanics in Orlando who are totally against illegal immigration.

I’d be more worried about Arizona than Florida. Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada seem to be lost causes.


81 posted on 03/06/2019 10:40:25 AM PST by The Fop (God Bless Donald Trump, Frank Sinatra, Joan Rivers, and the Fightin' Rat Pack Wing of the GOP)
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To: Zuben Elgenubi

Are they related to Dewey, Cheatham, and Howe?
(What I didn’t learn from Bugs Bunny, I learned from Mad Magazine -—vintage 1960’s)


82 posted on 03/06/2019 10:46:53 AM PST by Flaming Conservative ((Pray without ceasing))
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To: SkyDancer
......yellowed with age and sorta crumbly around the edges ....

LOL! Sounds like you're describing me....
I'm getting crumbly with age myself!

83 posted on 03/06/2019 10:49:54 AM PST by Fiddlstix (Warning! This Is A Subliminal Tagline! Read it at your own risk!(Presented by TagLines R US))
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To: blueunicorn6

Echos of Marty Glickman and Clem McCarthy. (I confess, I had to look up their names, but I can hear their voices).


84 posted on 03/06/2019 10:55:31 AM PST by Flaming Conservative ((Pray without ceasing))
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To: SMGFan
Florida would be a perfect state to adopt my solution to do away with the National Popular Vote compact to bypass the Electoral College.

My solution is to do away with statewide Presidential voting. Instead, the party that controls the lower chamber of the state legislature (the most populous) will select the slate of Electors to the Electoral College.

A marketing campaign would have to be launched to explain to voters that voting for your state Assembly will the same as voting for your preference for President, and will lead to a President that is aligned with the goals of the legislature.

Another selling point might be that it will end the endless Presidential campaign ads cluttering everyone' TVs every night, since the only vote that will matter is your local Assemblyman.

This change will result in denying the NPV compacting states a true national popular vote to rely on. Do this in Florida and Texas, and a huge chunk of national vote will be removed from the count.

NPV compacting states may declare that they will still go forward with whatever popular vote count remains (which would exclude major Republican vote counts), but this would likely result in lawsuits declaring that the states that already adopted the compact did so expecting a NATIONAL popular vote, and there would no longer be a national vote tally. Therefore the compact, as is, would be invalid.

-PJ

85 posted on 03/06/2019 11:00:54 AM PST by Political Junkie Too (The 1st Amendment gives the People the right to a free press, not CNN the right to the 1st question.)
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To: WKUHilltopper

Politico ... consider the source. I don’t even READ anything that has that news tag.


86 posted on 03/06/2019 11:58:51 AM PST by ThePatriotsFlag (We are getting even more than we voted for.)
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To: SMGFan

Yea, Biden is going to win in Texas to!


87 posted on 03/06/2019 1:09:24 PM PST by fortheDeclaration
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To: American in Israel

I meant patriot vs pedophile...


88 posted on 03/06/2019 2:37:15 PM PST by American in Israel (A wise man's heart directs him to the right, but the foolish mans heart directs him toward the left.)
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To: Joe Brower

Neither have I, Joe. Neither have I!


89 posted on 03/06/2019 2:43:58 PM PST by Taxman
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To: Bubba_Leroy

I stand corrected :-).


90 posted on 03/06/2019 2:49:23 PM PST by edh
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To: SMGFan

Biden is delusional. He got 1% last time he ran. Trump will win in a landslide unless he fails to prosecute the democrats for stealing votes called ballot harvesting.


91 posted on 03/06/2019 4:09:06 PM PST by minnesota_bound
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To: Joe Brower
Oddly, over the years, I was called twice for opinion polls but disqualified both times because of my high level of GOP political involvement. The polls are real in the sense that they are based on actual responses from real people. Political parties and candidates who pay for polls often audit and confirm that the calls are being made. The problems that subvert the reliability of polls are the high non-response rate and the inherent weaknesses in the models used to project who will actually vote.

The 2016 election is a good example. Remarkably, Trump stirred longtime marginal voters to turn out and vote for him. This killed polling models that counted on continued low turnout from the demographic of Trump supporters. As the pollsters lament, who could have predicted that?

After the election, some pollsters admitted to seeing signs of the Trump win but discounting because they did not believe that his supporters would turn out. And Trump of course had built his entire campaign on the implausible goal of getting White, blue collar conservatives to turn out and flip a key swath of blue states red. In doing so, Trump upended the long-settled expectations of American politics -- and thereby forced some embarrassed pollsters and political strategists into retirement.

92 posted on 03/07/2019 8:54:37 AM PST by Rockingham
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To: Rockingham

Very enlightening, Rockingham. Thanks for that info & insight.


93 posted on 03/07/2019 9:49:23 AM PST by Joe Brower ("Might we not live in a nobler dream than this?" -- John Ruskin)
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To: SMGFan

No worries: they’re agenda pollsters.

https://bendixenandamandi.com/about-3/


94 posted on 03/07/2019 9:51:25 AM PST by 9YearLurker
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To: Joe Brower
Me too. Never been polled by anyone but fake polls from republican party. They are such dumb questions it is obvious you are being Set up to be hit for a donation.

If there is a postage pre-paid envelope I tell them they should just ask for the staff or agency that drafted the poll to give back their pay or fee earned!

95 posted on 03/08/2019 9:20:57 PM PST by 3D-JOY (.)
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