Gun confiscation is coming, but it won’t be overnight. We’re not going to see hundreds of SWAT teams sweeping the nation to confiscate ARs.
Gun control at the federal level will mirror the approach we’ve seen at the state level. The Dems will at some point control both Houses and the WH. First, they’ll pass an “assault weapon” and “high” capacity magazine ban, similar to the previous one....but without an expiration date this time. You’ll be allowed to keep already owned weapons, but it will ban manufacture and transfers.
Just as when the 1994 AWB was passed, gun owners will grumble and gripe, but nothing more. After all, it won’t be as if they’re actually taking anything away (yet). Let things settle in for some years. Then, after an inevitable horrific mass shooting,, pass a mandatory “buy back” of the Australian model, giving something close to market value. Many gun owners will comply. Many will not. What they won’t do is go door to door for them, in spite of million of Americans becoming felons overnight.
As the years go by, one will regularly read of incidents where someone had an illegal gun or magazine in their car when being pulled over, or in their house during a domestic dispute call, resulting in felony charges getting tacked on (as is currently the case in a couple of states). As the years go by, some guns are surreptitiously passed down to family members. Many aren’t.
As the decades roll on, there remains a small, increasingly rare group of Americans with access to such weapons.
I very much hope I’m wrong , but this (or something similar) seems to me most likely scenario.
"...it won’t be overnight..."