Why does he/she have to be a moderate or Asian? Just run as a conservative and let the chips fall where they may be.
We need to look at the crime statistics to really tell but White+asian > Blacks+Hispanics.
Asians are generally democrat, but not progressively liberal. Hispanics can go 25% conservative, particularly if they are Cuban in origin. Whites would get 60% and Blacks would get 7%
Moderate conservative because not everybody that makes lower than median income wants to stay there, particularly the asians, but the would need a little encouragement that a moderate Conservative brings.