Almost impossible to prove.
“We have no conclusive evidence of wrongdoing, but the seriousness of the allegations, and the weight of circumstantial information, compel an effort to establish the facts.”
> Almost impossible to prove. <
True, but mathematicians can tell you the percent chance of something happening randomly. For example, the chances of flipping a coin heads five times in a row is only about 3%. So if you see that happen, you might have cause to wonder if the flip is fair.
I wonder if a mathematician could calculate the chance that the game’s outcome was within normal expectations.
For example, suppose a receiver usually drops one short pass in four. But that day he dropped three short passes in four. What are the chances that this was simple random variation, and not something deliberate? The mathematician would have to look at each play, then calculate an overall result.
That wouldn’t be easy to do. But it would be interesting.
A lot of circumstantial evidence, though.