There you go assuming bad guys are clear-thinking logical people. Almost all bad guys are impulsive optimists with a talent for ignoring the obvious...Any apparent rational behavior on the part of street criminals is usually the result of traditional criminal lore or evolutionary pressure. Just body language that suggests you might resist a mugging is usually enough to send the predator looking for easier game, and that's probably an in-born behavior, and the toll on muggers that ignore it is high enough to take them out of the game permanently...
Yeah, faulty premise. People that are rational realize that crime doesn’t pay. At least for 99% of us. I remember reading “Unintended Consequences” years ago where the author states that 90% of crimes are solved because the criminals can’t keep their mouth shut. Only something like 1% of the population has the intelligence to make crime pay and less have the ability to shut up. But those few are real “super criminals”. But even they have traded a “real life” with friends and family for their predatory existence.