Nonsensical analysis.
Clearly the conflict was the Lincoln cabal, its military, and Northern state militias moving South and firing on the people.
I don't think it was Lincoln, his cabal or the Northern state militias who fired the first shots at Ft. Sumter. And the large numbers of southerners who served in the Union army should cast doubt on the framing of the Civil War as a war of North versus South.
No, it was a bunch of southern states having a hissy fit because someone they didn’t like got elected. They had tried to bully the rest of the states in the election of 1856 by threatening to secede if the republicans won the presidential election. They threatened again in the 1860 election, but the northern and western states were having none of it.