I will predict that the debt will be much higher at the end of the first Trump term than at the beginning, the country will remain as divided at the end of the first Trump term as it was at the beginning, and whatever replacement in enacted for Obamacare will be just as expensive and just as ineffective. Islamic terrorism will be greatly weakened by the end of the first Trump administration and employment and the quality of jobs should be better.
I do not disagree with your assessment.
Good assessment. It took a long time after Ronny left for his policies to take effect, so much so that Clinton took credit for them. But with the small business seeing light at the end of the Obama tunnel, employment should make a positive uptick. The Donald promising to reduce regulation should cause opportunities to flourish, causing rapid growth within a year or two. Re-assessing global business/government agreements should also have near-immediate positive impact. The immigration/wall issue should cause a hit in the farming/home construction/cleaning industries but will open ops for US citizens.
All net positive, short/medium/long term.
That is a given. Both Bush 43 and Obama doubled the national debt during their 8 years in office. Every President since WWII has seen the national debt increase every year, including Clinton and the myth that he generated budget surpluses.
The fact is that the two biggest drivers of our national debt, SS and Medicare will continue to add more debt every year as our population ages. Add to that Medicaid and Obamacare and you have the formula for more and more debt. The entitlement programs must be reformed or we will be bankrupted by them.