Posted on 11/12/2016 1:46:29 PM PST by TheRef
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Very good. I’m always perplexed how you can figure in the 15 million illegal and fraudulent demoncrat votes in your models.
On the level.
“HELP US GET THE TRUTH OUT ABOUT THE POLLS DURING THE NEXT ELECTION.”
No.
I’m not saying nothing.
I know exactly why the polls were wrong.
I was part of the reason they were wrong.
As were millions of others.
Loose lips sink ships.
Glad to see you were closer than most!! Very happy to see the popular vote ended up being only a .3 difference as well. Trump kicked Clinton’s butt!!
Wow. He even closely predicted the millions of fraudulent votes correctly. Congrats!
Nice work. It’s great that all the poobahs of polling and forecasting got so pantsed this year since they often use them for influencing opinion. They now have zero credibility.
few people believed the polls this time
and next time people will think even more for themselves
great job..
wow! you were really close in calling it. I don’t know how you figured things out but it worked!
Excellent work!
At many Trump rallies, Trump STRONGLY encouraged his supporters to get out and vote because of vote-rigging. So I question the accuracy of the popular vote.
In fact, the following video demonstrating vote-rigging had been going around months before the election.
Hacking Democracy - The Hack
Voting fraud wouldn’t be a concern if the anti-contitutional republic Progressive Movement hadn’t fooled the states into unconstitutionally straying from the constitutionally enumerated procedure for electing POTUS evidenced by the 12th Amendment (12A). If the states hadn’t strayed from 12A then there would be only 500+ electoral votes to count and no popular votes.
The biases were severe this time around.
Gallup and Pew issues massive voter ID polls which did not match the pollster’s assumptions. Trafalgar group found good evidence for the shy trump voter.
it really wasn’t that hard. Data was there. The problem was the people at fivethirtyeight et al didn’t want to give anything to Trump!
Nice job. I’m jealous. I had a go (along with Freeper randita) at the 2010 House of Representatives races with KeyHouseRaces.com and so I appreciate how much work goes into predicting election outcomes.
And it is great to see a Freeper beat that arrogant Nate Silver who stuck a 11 point Hillary over Trump Poll into his final NH mix. And to top that he gave it a high rank after knocking it down from 11 to 10.
Bye bye Nate Silver Reputation.
Hello Political Ref.
Question: What was your prediction for Wisconsin and why were the polls so far off?
I’m seeing some links on facebook that say trump has won the popular vote now. Looking for more info.
The Left [including the media] created a narrative that Clinton was going to win and then tried to make it come to fruition.
Either intentionally or subjugated by their own duplicity, they ignored facts in favor of emotion.
They are so deeply blinded by their small sphere of influence that they do not understand or even consider flyover country as having any validity.
Wisconsin polls were terrible. They had her up in Wisconsin by 5 on the average. Here is the full list of 142 polls I used. http://politicalref.com/2016_politicalref_performance_analysis_electoral.php
Yes. I knew that. I looked at your list and you have pretty much the polls that show on RCP. These polls were in absolute agreement that Hillary would easily win WI, probably by 6 or 7. She loses by 1. Amazing.
Generally at least one pollster will get it right. Not this time. 100% of the polls showed Hillary winning easily.
I'm really hoping we will eventually get some insight to how all of these WI pollsters could get it so universally wrong.
And again, congratulations. You did a really great job this election cycle. Of course it helps when your side wins.
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