I was following 538 pretty closely during the primaries. What I saw was The website constantly predicting that Trump is the only one with the path to the delegates.
I like IBD/Tipp they jumped in on Oct 2O and will keep reporting until election day.The do home phones and cells with real people and break it down.They have been right # 1 in the last 3 elections.They have Trump +2 today.To follow their results go to Day 4 Results: Oct. 22
Trump Expands Lead Over Clinton To 2 Points — IBD/TIPP Poll
http://www.investors.com/politics/ibd-tipp-presidential-election-poll/