LOL. Nate Silver gave Trump a 2% chance of winning the GOP nomination:
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-six-stages-of-doom/
Even the libs ignore him now. So why are you posting crap from his site?
I wasn’t talking about his predictions - I was referring to the trendlines halfway down the page - you’ll see that polls unfortunately started going the other way after the debate.