Silver isn’t a pollster, he uses a statistical model to assimiliate the results of polls taken by others. But of course if the polls are crap going in then his model is going to predict crap. He does some weighting adjustments etc you can educate yourself at his site. But if you believe that the polls are slanted to favor Democrats, then mostly his results are going to predict the democrat will win, so this outcome is pretty significant.
And his model predicted 100% of the states right in 08 and all but one in 12.
Nate Silver is solid with his predictions.
Took it a him a month later than everyone.
Nate Silver has started wrong all year. Wrong in NCAA BB. Wrong in NBA. He will be wrong with his original odds on Trump too.
And early voting starts soon.