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November 8th Predictions Virginia is the state to watch
ConradBlack.com ^

Posted on 09/11/2016 7:28:56 PM PDT by ameribbean expat

I see Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Virginia as the real battlegrounds. With that said, I have never thought that Trump would take Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, but he is gaining steadily in those states and has a chance. I am unconvinced that Tim Kaine will be able to deliver his home state to the Dems, and am predicting a Trump victory in Virginia. Assuming Trump carries Nevada, and Maine's second district, neither of which he needs to win, the result will be a 279-259 Trump victory.

(Excerpt) Read more at conradmblack.com ...


TOPICS: Politics
KEYWORDS: 2016swingstates; conradblack; va2016
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Good analysis by an astute and long-standing observer of the U.S.

http://www.goodreads.com/book/show/15797939-flight-of-the-eagle

1 posted on 09/11/2016 7:28:56 PM PDT by ameribbean expat
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To: ameribbean expat

Who will be the dnc stooge to take hillary’s place?


2 posted on 09/11/2016 7:32:02 PM PDT by WENDLE (hillary is HISTORY!!)
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To: WENDLE

Can’t happen. http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-bloggers/3468328/posts


3 posted on 09/11/2016 7:40:39 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: ameribbean expat

The real battleground Is NJ (14)


4 posted on 09/11/2016 7:42:02 PM PDT by vooch
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To: LS

Can happen. Thomas Eggleton. Will happen, She is history. She can’t function. We will know by Wednesday.


5 posted on 09/11/2016 7:47:12 PM PDT by WENDLE (hillary is HISTORY!!)
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To: WENDLE

Eagleton was a veep. No one cares about veeps.

Has NEVER, ever happened in the middle of a presidential campaign, especially this close to the end. No, they can’t pull her.


6 posted on 09/11/2016 7:49:22 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

We will see, LS. It is a disaster either way. What a wonderful joy out of a very sad day.


7 posted on 09/11/2016 7:52:04 PM PDT by WENDLE (hillary is HISTORY!!)
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To: ameribbean expat

I have seen exactly ONE Hillary bumper sticker, Hillary for prison. Here in Tidewater.


8 posted on 09/11/2016 7:53:02 PM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: WENDLE

Have you ever read my 9/11 novel, “September Day?” Pretty good mystery, I think.

https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0974761087/104-0426693-1426353?s=books&v=glance&n=283155


9 posted on 09/11/2016 7:53:08 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: ameribbean expat

Yes, it’s good.

However...
the ‘thing’ about Virginia is that Kaine guarantees a BIG ‘black voter’ turnout.
Not for him, but because he’ll be replaced with BOBBY SCOTT as Senator.

And that Obama-sized ‘black’ voter turnout will win the state for her. Most likely anyway.


10 posted on 09/11/2016 7:54:50 PM PDT by mrsmith (Dumb sluts: Lifeblood of the Media, Backbone of the Democrat/RINO Party!)
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To: ameribbean expat

NOVA is DC Central aka ‘Rat Cemtral...


11 posted on 09/11/2016 8:18:20 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (FU Klintoons)
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To: ameribbean expat

NOVA is DC Central aka ‘Rat Central...


12 posted on 09/11/2016 8:20:08 PM PDT by VRWC For Truth (FU Klintoons)
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To: mrsmith

I drove this morning from Bedford VA (in between Roanoke and Lynchburg)
to Hilton Head SC, about 400 miles. I did not see one Hillary sign or bumper sticker the whole way. Plenty of Trump signs though. The dislike for Hilary is palatable.


13 posted on 09/11/2016 8:27:56 PM PDT by loveitor.. ("I will leave with the greatest love for this country of ours..." Ronald Reagan)
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To: vooch
The real battleground is NJ (14)

I second that
14 posted on 09/11/2016 8:28:10 PM PDT by arl295
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To: LS

Thanks. Go Trump.


15 posted on 09/11/2016 8:31:19 PM PDT by WENDLE (hillary is HISTORY!!)
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To: wastoute

This is a weird election year for signs. I live in eastern Washington. I haven’t seen one Hillary yard sign anywhere. During the primary there were several Bernie signs, but no Hillary. I have only seen one Trump yard sign. The last two elections there were lots of Obama signs, a few McCain and Romney. Maybe people are cautious and don’t want the scrutiny. Maybe more will appear closer to the election. There are lots of congress and state and local races signs, no president ones.


16 posted on 09/11/2016 8:33:03 PM PDT by ZagFan
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To: arl295

When Trump catches Hillary in NJ (14) and NY (29); Crooked will spend $75million in useless Media buys.

It’s over


17 posted on 09/11/2016 8:34:25 PM PDT by vooch
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To: ameribbean expat

He’s way off...

Trump’s biggest risk not getting WI was that the GOPe poisoned the electorate with their last gasp of NeverTrump there getting the state to Cruz during the primaries.

Polling indicates that doesn’t seem to be a risk... Trump will take it.

Pennsylvania will also go Trump and it won’t be terribly close. Hillary has zero enthusiasm anywhere in this state, even in the eastern/philly region, there is ZERO enthusiasm... if a Democrat is going to win PA they HAVE to take Philly region HEAVY.. INSANELY HEAVY... and while there is little doubt she will win that region, it won’t be anywhere near the margin she is going to need to hold the lead as the rest of the state votes... Trump supporters are motivated, numerous and determined.. Even with notorious fraud that happens in Philly area, she will not have nearly enough votes to carry PA.

VA is probably the only state listed buy this guy that I think Hillary may hold... Not because she has any organic support, but that the heavily government dependent NOVA region has a lot of people who’s pocket books are directly tied to the status quo.. They won’t be naturally motivated to show up to vote for HIllary, but they will be motivated to show up to vote to keep their suckling on the DC tit alive and well, and they know Hillary is the best player to ensure that continues... So, NOVA may be one area where she may get huge numbers even without organic support that could be high enough to keep her afloat as the rest of VA votes hard against her.

I expect Trump to take PA, WI, MI, IA and OH... Ohio is probably the only state where PURE fraud could hold it, because the machinations put in place for the 2012 election are still there, D’s can put up huge fraud numbers in that state if they need to.. which is why a threading of the needle election would be devastating... Personally I don’t think OH will be that close... but that’s the only state I think D’s have shown they can indeed put up enough pure raw fraud to swing a state.. and I have no doubt they will do so if the election comes down to OH for the win or loss.

Trump will take NC and FL as well... He will not lose any state that went red in 12, and he will take all the rust belt with the exceptions of MN and IL.

A few new england states will fall to him as well.. and even some of the western states that have trended blue last few cycles may end up red.

Anything D’s don’t generally take by 5 Trump will get, anything generally they get by between 5 and 10 will be battleground.

Andy don’t be shocked if on election day Trump even manages to pull out a bigger EC state from the D New England block... Maybe a NJ... wouldn’t bet the farm on this. but certainly not beyond the realm of possibility.

And this was before HIllary’s labeling of half of all Trump supporters deplorable.. and having her collapse this weekend....

I fully expected polls to show Trump beginning to break away right around if not slighly before the first debate.. will full on collapse for Hillary evident shortly thereafter. Assuming of course Trump doesn’t come out of the debates looking unreasonable, he will see his numbers mushroom after.

No one is watching the debate to see if Hillary can convince them to vote for her.. those that are going to vote for her, are already committed.. folks are watching to see if Trump is the crazy racist and dangerous that the press and hillary and her minions say he is.. or if he is reasonable. If they decide he’s resonable they break huge for him.. if they decide he isn’t.. they will go third party or stay home on election day and Hillary can win not because she convinced 1 more person to vote for her, but that folks decided not to vote for Trump.... Few if any will decided to vote for her no matter how well she does in the debates...


18 posted on 09/11/2016 8:49:08 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: arl295

I agree, I think Trump is going to take some NE states no one is thinking about, and I also believe he will likely pick off a bigger EC state or two as well there... with NJ being the most likely candidate.


19 posted on 09/11/2016 8:50:30 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: vooch

I want her to go for broke and lose big


20 posted on 09/11/2016 8:57:03 PM PDT by arl295
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