Just some quick comments, Cleveland would still have a convention and much of the business to be expected from that in my scenario, just no Republican Party establishment. I can’t see anyone complaining about that.
Some readers mistakenly think I support this outcome. Wrong, I am predicting this outcome. I am a weather forecaster and I certainly don’t want it to rain all day Saturday any more than you do.
I chose words carelessly when I said “you and I may believe etc” what that should say is “you and I may be convinced but that does not mean five sixths of our fellow citizens are convinced.” That in any case is the logic implied.
This is not some backdoor Cruz support thread. I am just stating another political analysis here, that while the party might risk going against the Trump forces, they would definitely be courting oblivion by going against the combined Trump and Cruz support (don’t forget that Trump’s vote in primaries is more than a share of GOP members due to independent and crossover support).
So I don’t know if any of those points would make my theory more sustainable or not. Bottom line is, we’ll know if I am right or wrong by mid-June at latest. I may turn out to be partially right if the GOP sort of goes through the motions in Cleveland but then pops out a candidate in August. That would amount to the same thing.