It is really down to a one man race. After April 26, only Trump will have a path to 1,237. Cruz and Kasich will have no mathematical shot at the number. Right now, Trump must win 60% of the remaining delegates while Cruz must win 90%.
Trump has won 37% of the popular vote compared to 28% for Cruz. 9% is almost landslide proportions and the percentage will grow significantly after Tuesday.
In 2008 McCain became the presumptive nominee of the party with only 33% of the vote. Romney dropped out after FL and Cruz should have as well. Cruz is just a vehicle along with Kasich for the GOPe stop Trump movement.
You are right on McCain only getting 33% of the vote. And that is the point I am trying to make. Trump has according to your numbers gotten 37% and Cruz has received 28%. That leaves 45% of the vote so far unaccounted for. That is a huge number that have voted already.
It remains to see where they go from here. Both Trump and Cruz both lost that 45%. Cruz is working hard to get them and is being called a cheater for that and working by the rules to get more where the GOPe have made it hard to get them.
The whole point of the article is to kind of tell where that 45% will end up and others besides that. Is it true they will be with Cruz, I dont know. But it is where I am thinking they will go.