Here is the link.. must have been something wrong when I pasted it...
https://www.conservativereview.com/commentary/2016/04/cruz-and-trump-likely-to-miss-delegate-target
The reason is that two candidates with no path to the nomination through the normal process of accruing a majority of delegates are staying in the race soley to deny the leader (Trump) that victory. This is extremely unusual.
For instance, in 2012 Romney's three main opponents got 8.6 million votes to his 10.0 million. Had all of them worked to deny him the nomination we might have had a brokered convention then.
For instance Gingrich: "On May 2, 2012, Newt Gingrich "mothballed" his campaign saying that a second term of president Obama would be disastrous. Gingrich mentioned Republican front-runner Mitt Romney during his press speech, but did not endorse him. He intended to officially endorse Mr. Romney at a "to-be-scheduled event" featuring both Republican leaders. "Today I am suspending the campaign, but suspending the campaign does not mean suspending citizenship,"
For instance Santorum: On May 7, 2012, after Romney visited him, Santorum urged his supporters to back Romney's campaign and said, "You can be sure that I will work with the governor to help him in this task to ensure he has a strong team that will support him in his conservative policy initiatives."[69] "We both agree that President Obama must be defeated," Santorum, 53, said in a e-mailed statement last night, "[Romney] clearly understands that having pro-family initiatives are not only the morally and economically right thing to do, but that the family is the basic building block of our society."[70]
These were honorable men who did what was best for the part and the nation and quit after they saw they had no plausible path to winning the delegates required for the nomination.
Even Ron Paul, who many in the GOP considered a poorly mannered outsider, eventually got out: On May 14, Paul announced that he would halt campaigning in states that had not yet at that point held their primaries, citing a lack of money needed to do so. Instead, the Paul campaign sought more delegates in state conventions in states that already held primaries.[71]
It was as a result of these man acting this way that Mitt went into the convention having won the nomination. That's the normal way primaries work, to arrive at a consensus. This is something that most people have understand is a good way to get there, and it helps with party unity in the fall.
Ted Cruz and John Kasich are not acting in this way.
Is it dishonorable? Well that might be a little harsh, it's certainly unconventional.
If Ted Cruz admitted hes' unable to reach 1237 then he should resign. If he did that today then Trump would have no problem reaching 1237.
Everything is a religious issue to Ted. Him being the nominee is more important than the GOP winning. Go back and read what Newt said. Newt was a Statesman.
Somehow (maybe it's the annointing?) Ted's various crusades always is for a larger reason ("saving the GOP from Trump") but always puts him in the cat-bird seat, too. In every case I'm sure he believes that "what's good for Ted is good for the GOP" and "what's good for Ted is good for America".
So, Trump is not the ONLY candidate with narcissistic personality disorder. (BTW: If the rumors of Ted's philandering are substantiated after he has destroyed Trump and won the nomination by intrigue then you will really see the costs of ignoring his personality disorders to the nation).
By the way, very good article. He’s done a great job of counting the numbers, but of course when you guess outcomes in 20 states you are going to be wrong about a lot of them.