Posted on 04/04/2016 6:11:14 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
By tomorrow morning it will be dead heat.
On the other hand, we have this Poll:
http://americanresearchgroup.com/
That shows Trump leading Cruz in Wisconsin: 42 to 32
On the other hand, we have this Poll:
http://americanresearchgroup.com/
That shows Trump leading Cruz in Wisconsin: 42 to 32
Polls favorable to Cruz aren’t allowed in Breaking News.
The Cruz numbers have been falling all week & the Emerson polls are well respected & by & large spot on. Seems like Cruz will hang on, either way, we will know tomorrow.
ARG included Independents and used actual phone interviews. Emerson was GOP and used Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only.
I’m not sure of all implications, jut pointing out major differences. But I’m quite sure Independents will make a difference tomorrow.
Smells like New Hampshire to me.
Trump was going to lose there, too.
You do realize that this Emerson poll shows Cruz's lead GROWING since their last poll, don't you? You can't look at a fox poll that shows a 10-point lead, and then look at an Emerson poll that shows a 5 point lead and conclude that his numbers are falling - you can't compare polls from different companies that way. You look at the change from the last poll from the same company to determine the movement, which show his numbers gaining in this poll, not falling...
Reposting this morning’s story as “breaking news” to cover up the ARG poll, which is a more recent poll than the Emerson College one?
Emerson was completed 3/31 and the new ARG 4/3. ARG was very accurate on Trumps numbers in Florida and South Carolina
Didn’t the last Emerson poll show Cruz ahead by more than 5 points?
I did not realize that...that prior Emerson poll slipped by me, good catch.
No, the last Emerson poll only had Cruz with a 1-point lead - so this one is showing movement toward Cruz.
ARG is really flawed on what they released tonight. Only 400 in the poll and 160 stated they were Dem or Independent.
Trump tonight looks to only have about 1,500 at his rally. Cruz has about 8,000.
Trump is going to get beaten badly tomorrow. Up to him to right the ship then.
Emerson was completed 3/31 and the new ARG 4/3.
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Not true. it was done 3/30 - 4/3.
I also posted the ARG poll AFTER the Emerson poll. See Post #3 above.
ARG is the newer poll by at least 2 days.
It's a surprising good poll.
It sampled, not just Republicans, but those likely to VOTE in the Republican primary...of all affiliations.
I consider that a fair sample considering the election dynamics this year.
We'll know tomorrow night.
Media lies - here are the facts showing Trump smashing Cruz in Wisconsin: http://rickwells.us/archives/28126
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