Posted on 03/28/2016 5:34:28 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump is about to find out that Wisconsin is different. And one of the reasons is conservative talk radio.
In recent years, Wisconsin has repeatedly found itself at the epicenter of political upheavals (Scott Walker, Act 10, recall elections, Paul Ryan). In 2010, no state switched more decisively from blue to red and in this traditionally progressive state the GOP still controls the governorship, both houses of the legislature, a majority of the congressional delegation and (at least for now) a U.S. Senate seat. The heart of the conservative resurgence here is southeastern Wisconsin which is turning out to be very unfriendly territory for the GOP front-runner.
Last week, we called on Wisconsins conservatives to be a firewall of rationality in the madness that is the current GOP campaign. Voters here are well positioned to do exactly that. They are savvy, well-informed, and deeply engaged. And they are not buying the vulgar buffoonery that Trump is selling. In the critical WOW counties around Milwaukee Waukesha, Ozaukee, Washington Trump is viewed positively by just 25% and negatively by 64% of GOP voters.
As The Washington Posts Dave Weigel noted last week it was not a coincidence that Ted Cruz kicked off his campaign on talk radio in vote-rich Waukesha County:
Theres a reason for that. In a typical day here, in the suburbs of Milwaukee, Republicans can spin their radio dials and have their pick of anti-Donald Trump commentary.
I confess that I am one of them (and have the scars to show for it.) But I am only one of the hosts here who has broken with the national talkers who drank deep from the toxic cup of Trumpism. Wisconsin boasts an unusually robust talk radio infrastructure one that includes my colleague on WTMJ, Jeff Wagner, WISNs Mark Belling, Jay Weber, and Dan ODonnell, as well as Green Bays Jerry Bader. There are no Hannity-like Trump fan boys here. Weigel quotes me accurately:
Theres kind of a fundamental decency about Wisconsinites that you cant downplay, Sykes said Tuesday night, poking at a salad at an Ozaukee County supper club. Weve never had a huge division between the tea party and the establishment. Weve got think tanks and radio talk shows that have been through the fire and are really intellectually driven. And you dont get that elsewhere. I was driving here listening to Sean Hannity, and after 15 seconds, I could feel myself getting dumber.
The Wall Street Journals Reid Epstein also noticed the dynamic here:
For Mr. Trump, Wisconsins population distribution poses a particular disadvantage. He is highly unpopular in the Milwaukee area, where local conservative talk-radio hosts have been lamenting his rise for months .
In southeast Wisconsin, the local conservative talk-radio hosts have not followed the lead of the national guys, said Charlie Sykes, who regularly criticizes Mr. Trump on his morning radio show in Milwaukee and is hosting Mr. Cruz at the Wednesday forum in Waukesha. Trump has not had the talk-radio air cover here that hes had elsewhere.
But Trumps unpopularity here is not simply a result of what we have said about him on the air. There is also a very different political culture here. Dan Balz notes that Wisconsins Paul Ryan represents something far different than Trumpism, a politics grounded in ideas and policies and an attitude of goodwill.
So its worth noting that Wisconsin GOP voters are Paul Ryans and Scott Walkers -- voters. Not Trumps.
Ryans approach reflects the distinctive sort of conservatism that has flourished here: principled, pragmatic, substantive, reformist, but not afraid of taking on tough, controversial issues. While the GOP in Washington D.C. has been frustrated and blocked, the record here in Wisconsin has been dramatically different. Not only do conservative now dominant all three branches of government here they have used that dominance to enact an impressive array of reforms and initiatives from Act 10, Right to Work, and prevailing wage reform, to tax cuts, tort reform, and the expansion of school choice. (Voters will also remember how Trump lied about the success of the conservative reforms here.)
In other words, conservatives in Wisconsin take ideas seriously, which may explain the relatively wide embrace of #Nevertrump here. All of this helps Cruz in a state that few saw as being particularly hospitable to the Texas senator. Politicos Katie Glueck wrote:
Cruzs strongest asset, however, may be the strong Never Trump movement that began earlier and more aggressively in Wisconsin than did the national efforts to halt the GOP frontrunner's march to the nomination. It is led by prominent local conservative radio hosts like Charlie Sykes, and also embraced by Assembly Majority Leader Jim Steineke, both of whom are now backing Cruz.
The battle for Wisconsins GOP delegates may be decided in the Green Bay media market, but theres no question where voters in the southeast are trending.
The heart of the Republican vote in Wisconsin is in suburban Milwaukee, and that area in particular has been hostile to Trump, said Mark Graul, a longtime Wisconsin-based GOP strategist unaligned this cycle.
A leading factor is that conservative media, particularly talk radio, has been very anti-Trump from the start, and that those voices have gone from being anti-Trump to being pro-Cruz, as the election now comes to Wisconsin, that will be very beneficial to Sen. Cruz in areas where probably 40 percent of the Republican vote comes from in two weeks, a reference to suburban counties around Milwaukee.
If the Trump Train derails, it may start right here.
How big is the market?
Is Sykes morning and what time is Belling? Are they are the same station?
How big are the national radio hosts in that market?
Levin & Hannity have been loving Cruz & Rubiofor a long time but New York GOP hates them especially upstate, Rockaways, Long Island, Middle Murica type places.
Did ‘Our Principles PAC’ buy every local talk show host like it did to Eric Erickson? ...This isnt new, Ohio I heard also got the local talk show hosts against Trump.
Trump had better know his cheese.
Just sayin’
Sounds like Sykes was the only rude and disrespectful one in the interview of DT today.
Developing: Wisconsin Union bosses refuse to endorse Clinton, Members backing Trump in https://t.co/NbyMmsiwEB pic.twitter.com/XQUzfW2FgT— TRUMPTRAIN (@OnlyHotyP) March 26, 2016
I’m IBEW for Trump, and most in our unit are for Trump.
Wisconsin is one of the most liberal states in the union and always has been.
Paul Ryan us current example
Mark Belling, one of their local hosts sometimes sits in for Rush. He is a Cheap Labor Express mouthpiece.
This is Atlanta radio host Erick Erickson’s avatar on twitter.
This is the sort of stuff these so called niche conservatives like.
Being known by some crappy magazine whether Politico or local magazine.
Half of what is writtein Syke’s article is quotes where some beltway bimbo recognizes him.
Here’s today’s interview by Vicki McKenna who is not a Trump fan, but does an objective job:
http://wiba.iheart.com/onair/vicki-mckenna-29300/vicki-talks-to-donald-trump-no-14539445/
Milwaukee area is about 1.5 million.
Sykes is WTMJ am, Belling 3 pm WISN CST, different am stations.
Rush is carried on WISN one hour delay- Belling’s station. Hannity follows Belling, then Levin later.
Everyone hates Trump.
I used to listen regularly until 2012, but hardly ever now.
I am active in an area article 5 group in SEWI but most people are for Cruz. They haven’t come to realize how pathetically corrupt the whole system is today. Cognitive dissonance is too strong.
Nope. No bias there.
So why is Walker polling in the mid 30’s right now?
He makes me sick to my stomach.
Bookmark
My brother in law who lives in Hudson WI, just across the river from MN is predicting a Trump win, as he has big union member, blue collar dem support, and Wisconsin is an open primary.
I think that is where the polling goes haywire in WI, they are polling republicans only for the republican primary, when they should be looking at the dem and independent voters as well.
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