No spin. Conservatives are not monolythic.
Nor do the Shiite Conservatives represent enough of the population of the US to overcome the rest of the patriots of all stripes.
Time will tell. The general also depends on who is running on both sides and what world events are happening.
Financial crisis? Advantage Trump over Bernie or Hillary.
Terrorist attack? Advantage Trump over Bernie or Hillary.
I believe we will have more than one incident of each between now and then.
Polls.....Clinton/Sanders over Tump.
“Financial crisis? Advantage Trump over Bernie or Hillary.
Terrorist attack? Advantage Trump over Bernie or Hillary. “
What about Supreme Court crisis ?
I wouldn’t give that advantage to Trump.
If we get 3 more Sotomayors, Breyers, or Kagans, how is that different from a terrorist attack ?