This is the news media and polling agencies arrempting to pump up public expectation and deflate others. They have done it time, and time, and time again. I trust the media as much as I trust the president of Black Lives Matter.
It's amazing these highly paid pollsters are about 90% wrong most of the time. Wish I could get that kind of work. No pressure to deliver at all.
I don't know if Cruz has caught or overtaken Trump - I think Trump's flip to "CODEPINK" talking points on 9/11 and the Iraq war will damage him, but Trump isn't 20+ points ahead.
I think it'll be close. I also think that over 60% of the vote will go to outsiders, Cruz, Trump, and Carson. The GOP-e is done; put a fork in 'em. The RINO's have always been saying that there's no conservative majority in the GOP, even as they stiff us as soon as they're elected. So, seeing the GOP-e candidates down to under 30% of the total vote kind of tells the true story, no? RINO's have been a minority for 50 years, but calling all the shots for the party since Reagan (and they tried to, even then).