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The Real Problem with Government Pensions
Michigan Capitol Confidential ^ | 1/12/2016 | James Hohman

Posted on 01/15/2016 5:09:12 AM PST by MichCapCon

The high cost of government pension plans are often dismissed by blaming them on either employees abusing the system for plush benefits or poor investment returns due to a temporary market blip.

Neither is correct. The real problem is the assumptions used to prefund future retirement benefits. To keep pension costs from draining resources meant to fund current services, Michigan politicians at all levels should address the pension underfunding crisis in 2016.

The government retirement system for school employees is the largest pension program in Michigan, and it has accumulated $26.5 billion of unfunded benefit promises. The plan for state employees carries another $6.2 billion in unfunded liabilities. Local governments are underfunded by at least another $2.1 billion. And none of these figures include the value of retiree health care benefits.

These enormous debts and taxpayer burdens were never approved by lawmakers or voters, but are rather the result of decades of inadequately funded pension systems. It is yet another demonstration that government pensions don’t get funded — they get underfunded.

Under a pension system, workers provide their services and earn credits towards a pension in addition to their take-home pay. Setting enough money aside ensures that the full cost of these services are paid for as the services are provided. Not setting enough money aside pushes some of these current costs onto future taxpayers (when the time comes for these workers to collect their pension).

Unfortunately, governments have failed to save enough money to pay the costs of the pensions they promised. Increases to life expectancy rates explain some of the underfunding, but the main culprit has been the failure of investment assumptions. In other words, pension managers have failed to earn as much investment returns as the pension program assumed they would.

Most pension funds’ money is invested in the securities market, where values tend to grow faster than inflation. Making reasonable projections of this growth ensures that sufficient money is set aside now that enough will be available when it comes time to send out monthly pension checks. Assuming more growth than will actually be achieved means that too little gets set aside, which is how funding gaps develop.

This is a recurring problem. In only one out of the past 30 years did Michigan’s school pension system actually have enough money set aside to adequately cover future benefit promises.

So it is odd to see defenders of the system downplay the problem by pointing to a recession that ended six years ago or improper employee “benefit spiking” schemes that are rare in this state. The magnitude of the current underfunding shows that the real problem is more fundamental.

Yet this is a hard problem for government pension managers. If they lower funding assumptions, the stated gap only widens and requires more cash now. That is why recent reform efforts have focused on substituting employee contributions for employer contributions, lowering the generosity of benefits, or, worse, counter-productive early retirement schemes.

Thankfully, there is a way out that will protect taxpayers, current pensioners and future government employees: Give new employees defined-contribution benefit plans that they own and that create no new long-term taxpayer liabilities. The growth of unfunded liabilities in legacy benefits will be contained, which will give some breathing room to catch up on the funding gap. And eventually, the state and local governments will catch up on the promises they made to retirees.


TOPICS: Government
KEYWORDS: pensions

1 posted on 01/15/2016 5:09:12 AM PST by MichCapCon
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To: MichCapCon

It’s all present day taxpayer money


2 posted on 01/15/2016 5:20:52 AM PST by knarf (I say things that are true .... I have no proof ... but they're true.)
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To: knarf

Yep, I gotta pay for these pensions.


3 posted on 01/15/2016 5:58:45 AM PST by biff
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To: MichCapCon

Thankfully, there is a way out that will protect taxpayers,

Yes there is, and all we need to do is READ THE CONSTITUTION!!

Amendment XIII
Section 1.

Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except as a punishment for crime whereof the party shall have been duly convicted, shall exist within the United States, or any place subject to their jurisdiction.
Section 2.

Congress shall have power to enforce this article by appropriate legislation.

By placing a “Claim” or demanding the “Right” to the Fruits of my Labor to Pay for your Wants, for which I will Receive NO BENEFIT is the very definition of “INVOLUNTARY SERVITUDE”!!


4 posted on 01/15/2016 6:08:49 AM PST by eyeamok
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To: MichCapCon

Many government pension programs were started when wages in the public sector were much lower than in the private sector for the same jobs. The private sector also had defined benefit pension programs. Over time wages for many public sector jobs were increased to parity with private sector jobs, or even higher than equivalent jobs in the private sector. At the same time private sector pay stagnated, and the private sector eliminated defined benefit pension plans. Politicians in many localities and states chose not to change the public pension plans often under pressure from unions.

Democrats have a clear strategy with respect to public pensions. They will not reduce benefits and are perfectly willing to bankrupt a local or state government in order to preserve the current public pension system. They are counting on Congress to ultimately bail out states such as California, Michigan and Illinois.

Having watched the behavior of the GOP controlled House of Representatives since 2011, it seems very likely a GOP Congress would appropriate funds from the national treasury to bail out the pension plan of a liberal Democrat state. Elizabeth Warren, Barack Obama, Hillary, Pelosi, and others will argue the US Treasury bailed out the big banks, therefore the government must protect the pensions of “public servants.” Ryan and McConnell will fold without a whimper, just like they did on the recent spending bill.

Likely the first big test of Congress’s resolve is coming in 2016 with respect to Puerto Rico. Obama is preparing to tee up a Puerto Rico bailout. Will the GOP refuse to back Puerto Rico’s debt? Or will a GOP Congress whose campaign coffers are funded by Goldman Sachs and other Wall Street banks bail out Puerto Rico and cover the debt owed to those banks?

Once Puerto Rico is bailed out, we’ll see states (Illinois, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey) lining up at the Treasury as well as every Democrat controlled big city (Chicago, New York, Baltimore, Memphis, Washington. The Coward-Piven strategy will then be realized with the collapse of the dollar and the bankruptcy of the US Treasury, followed by hyperinflation and an economic catastrophe that will make the Great Depression seem like a boom era.


5 posted on 01/15/2016 6:36:48 AM PST by Soul of the South (Tomorrow is gone. Today will be what we make of it.)
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To: Soul of the South; eyeamok
Both of your replies sync with my thoughts ... as a school board director .. denying spending they are always demanding

Your servant,
K narf

6 posted on 01/15/2016 6:46:18 AM PST by knarf (I say things that are true .... I have no proof ... but they're true.)
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