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To: thackney
That said, I predicted earlier in the year that US production would go down by the end of summer. That prediction is not looking good, but who knows....

Given the need to make interest payments (and balance national budgets), my feeling was always that there would be a race to the bottom, price-wise, if over-supply ever materialized. I suspect we are about to find out, once again, that oil is somewhat different, but not completely different, re the way booms and busts play out. And we are in the bust phase of the oil market. The weak players need to go bust, and idle their production, before we find a bottom.

22 posted on 07/13/2015 4:34:57 PM PDT by Zhang Fei (Let us pray that peace be now restored to the world and that God will preserve it always.)
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To: Zhang Fei
The weak players need to go bust, and idle their production

You should recognize, that while they may go bust, the production is not going to be idled.

Even if bankrupt, someone will buy every producing well for dimes in place of dollars and keep that oil flowing.

The Bust just limits the new wells drilled. The old wells decline in production over time, but they don't stop because oil falls to $50.

23 posted on 07/14/2015 5:24:37 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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