Those numbers look legit, despite the source. How Trump runs (and spends) can be a bit of a wild card, those less effective in Iowa and New Hampshire than in bigger states with open primaries.
As things now look, I expect Christie to bail after a weak showing in New Hampshire. Carson may be a problem, as he could finish second or third in Iowa, making him a story, and draining % away from better candidates. He also doesn’t need as much $$$ to stay active, just enough to get on ballots and in debates.
Cruz is keeping his powder dry, as is Walker. Neither wants to be any more of a target than absolutely necessary. If Jeb is near the lead, it also makes for a more compelling fund-raising pitch.
As things now look, I expect Christie to bail after a weak
showing in New Hampshire.
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May well happen but first Christie has got to get into the
fray and become a candidate.
True. I can really see him picking up a lot of blue collar Dems and indies in open primaries, especially if Hillary has it sewn up early.
Are these votes in general or Republican voters?
With the confusion at the organizational level for Carson, I have a hard time buying that he is running so well.