Don't expect this to be a rational, logical argument.
More than half of today's voters are women.
I believe a majority of those women will be inclined to cast their vote for a woman.
But what kind of woman?
Sarah can be like their Sister. Hillary can't
The best Hillary can do is emulate their stodgy Mother. I'm betting that half of the women voters would prefer supporting their Sister over their Mother.
And that cancels Hillary's "woman advantage."
A majority of women are going to vote for the Democrat whether it’s Hillary or not. I think Obama pulled 57% of women. Hillary will probably be in the 53-56% range when you factor in Obama and Democrat fatigue. Sarah Palin isn’t going to make that much of a dent in the Democrats dominance among women.
Of course, we’re assuming Hillary is going to run. I’m not sure that’s the case. Bubba’s visits to the sex slave island could derail Hillary before she even starts her formal campaign.