No plan survives first contact with the enemy. That enemy is Iran. This OPEC move is a Saudi attack on Iran and Russia. Any damage done to US fracking is incidental. If Iran gets their nuke, their first move will be to shut down all Saudi oil exports, which must exit through the Striates of Hormuz and the Red Sea. They have an estimated 70,000 mines with which to do it. The Russians will help and the US will do nothing. Oil will cost whatever the Russians and Iran say it costs.
The Saudis were behind the attacks on 9/11. The government has a highly redacted report that details that fact.
The problem here is that most muslims hate the west and want to see it conquered. The only group they hate more is the House of Saud.
As for the price of oil, it is being driven by consumers. The idea that Russia and Iran can control the price by mining the Strait of Hormuz is too simple. The Saudis have already thought of it, and so they have pipelines to elsewhere. I foresee them even forging a temporary truce with Israel just to have an outlet to the sea.
“No plan survives first contact with the enemy. That enemy is Iran. This OPEC move is a Saudi attack on Iran and Russia. Any damage done to US fracking is incidental. If Iran gets their nuke, their first move will be to shut down all Saudi oil exports”
I agree with your analysis. There is more visceral hatred within the Islamic community to each other than people realize
I don’t know enough to comment on your seemingly plausible scenario.
What I do think I know is that Putin won’t sit on his thumb while the Saudi royal swinery pushes Russia toward economic ruin.
He will view such policies as an act of war and will respond accordingly, as any imperialist despot would do.