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2013 GDP Growth Rate Closer to -1.75%
Natural Born Conservative ^ | September 21, 2013 | Larry Walker Jr

Posted on 09/21/2013 11:34:54 AM PDT by NaturalBornConservative

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1 posted on 09/21/2013 11:34:54 AM PDT by NaturalBornConservative
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Looks like Shadowstats is branching out.


2 posted on 09/21/2013 11:39:59 AM PDT by 1rudeboy
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To: 1rudeboy
Due to a lack of good-quality hard data, the "advance" GDP report is little more than a guesstimate.

If anyone knows about "a lack of good-quality hard data", it's John Williams.

3 posted on 09/21/2013 11:44:22 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Do you know if he makes money doing what he does? I mean, anyone can draw graph with a line on it, and draw another line underneath.


4 posted on 09/21/2013 11:46:04 AM PDT by 1rudeboy
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To: NaturalBornConservative
Nearly every key statistic reported by the Federal Government is a lie.

That's awful. Show us how you calculate your key statistics, John.

5 posted on 09/21/2013 11:46:19 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: NaturalBornConservative
Nearly every key statistic reported by the Federal Government is a lie. Virtually every word emanating from Washington, DC is a lie.

Hear, hear!

6 posted on 09/21/2013 11:46:44 AM PDT by DakotaGator (Weep for the lost Republic! And keep your powder dry!!)
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To: 1rudeboy
He sells subscriptions.

Someone noted that despite his claims of much higher than reported inflation, he hasn't raised his subscription rate in years and years.

http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/08/25/another-alternative-inflation-measure/?_r=0

OMG! Spanked by Krugman. LOL!

7 posted on 09/21/2013 11:50:35 AM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
he hasn't raised his subscription rate in years and years

Is that true? Darn shame, if it's the case: one would imagine that his subscription rate would more closely match his stated inflation rate.

8 posted on 09/21/2013 11:55:35 AM PDT by 1rudeboy
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To: NaturalBornConservative

Only in the diseased, perverted “mind” of the libtard could a negative number be associated with “growth”.


9 posted on 09/21/2013 1:08:00 PM PDT by Common Sense 101 (Hey libs... If your theories fly in the face of reality, it's not reality that's wrong.)
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To: Common Sense 101

Government is growing & that’s the only growth they care about.


10 posted on 09/21/2013 1:17:42 PM PDT by Twotone (Marte Et Clypeo)
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To: Toddsterpatriot
Show us how you calculate your key statistics, John.

Williams' methodology is set out at his website.

I don't see Paul Krugman disagreeing with Williams' conclusions.

11 posted on 09/21/2013 1:36:24 PM PDT by Praxeologue
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To: Kennard
Williams' methodology is set out at his website.

Don't keep us hanging, share the fun.

12 posted on 09/21/2013 1:46:15 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: 1rudeboy

I wonder if the real Walter Williams made him change his name?


13 posted on 09/21/2013 1:47:47 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: DakotaGator

Lies? No there damn lies.


14 posted on 09/21/2013 2:06:17 PM PDT by Red Dog #1
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To: Toddsterpatriot

“Williams’ methodology is set out at his website.”

‘Don’t keep us hanging, share the fun.’

http://www.shadowstats.com/article/gross_domestic_product


15 posted on 09/21/2013 2:34:17 PM PDT by Praxeologue
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To: Kennard
I didn't see what you claimed at that link.

Maybe you could cut and paste the methodology you saw?

16 posted on 09/21/2013 3:18:37 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (Science is hard. Harder if you're stupid.)
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To: NaturalBornConservative
Though the "annualizing" of quarterly GDP numbers is scandalous [even the Europeans don't go that far], I cannot see how this guy arrives at a negative GDP growth rate. It's bad enough that the quarterly rate is really just a shade over 1/4%.

That's statistical noise. A rounding error is more significant.

And, besides, GDP is a worthless indicator of economic growth. Capital growth alone leads to economic growth. Consumer spending and government spending are interesting figures to look at but they don't build new factories or hire new employees.

17 posted on 09/21/2013 3:42:54 PM PDT by BfloGuy (Workers and consumers are, of course, identical.)
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To: Red Dog #1

Indeed!


18 posted on 09/21/2013 7:17:35 PM PDT by DakotaGator (Weep for the lost Republic! And keep your powder dry!!)
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To: BfloGuy

When you consider that GDP includes govt. deficit spending, real GDP is really negative 3 or 4%.


19 posted on 09/21/2013 7:21:04 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Oh come on! He uses the same methodology that the federal government used to use prior to 1984. It’s not rocket science, it’s that every few years the federal government changes formulas to make the public feel better. We’re actually in as bad a shape as the chart shows, and most people know that.


20 posted on 09/22/2013 2:43:08 AM PDT by NaturalBornConservative ("Something that everyone knows isn't worth knowing" ~ Bernard Baruch)
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