Fedzilla ordered for asap delivery a multi-years supply of several calibers, including 1.6 billion 40 cal hollowpoints. That should inform US that they reralize there is coming a date certain beyond which they will not be able to resupply for a few years. For your prediction to hold, there ahs to be manufacturing going on in the fall and trucks able to travel the Interstates safely. I’m not betting on that.
Nobody knows who is producing that order and until we get that information we don’t actually know if the order is being filled. We also don’t know why but I hope I’m right and your wrong but it doesn’t hurt to be prepared.