State polls, most of which are run by the MSM, have used sampling models that assume a Democrat turnout that is, a best, unrealistic; and at worst, a deliberate attempt to influence the election by discouraging the GOP base.
2004 pretty much discredited exit polls. Hopefully 2012 will be the year that finally buries most of these so-called polls.
Nate Silver started out analyzing baseball players. Maybe after today, he can get a new gig, as a statistical analyst for the National Hockey League..
use the “bigger they are, harder they fall” model. Obama, then Reid, then Pelosi, then Silver. Silver is a peanut, no matter how far he falls, he hasn’t lost much, because he doesn’t have much to begin with.
I will go with Michael Baronne over silver. Silvers claim to fame is picking 49 of 50 states last time. Big deal. I picked 45 of 50
All of them !
They’re all guilty of Treason. No blindfolds; no last Kobe burger! I want them to see it coming...................
I sure as heck hope that they all come out losers but the damn MSM is so giddy today that it is alarming.
I am going to set a record for prayers today, that is the only thing I am sure of.
91.6% is pretty damn high,either he is wildly optimistic or he knows something we dont.
Either way, If Zero wins, then the American people lose.
If Romney wins, then all the above lose...
its that simple. Liberty or Tyranny will win today.
Biggest loser in a way will be Silver. His entire future cred rides on this. Obama? This is his last rodeo anyway.
Can anyone believe anything from the NYT? Silver is just another ‘in the tank’ journalist who spews his venom on the printed page. It is shameful that the once proud Grey Lady has turned into a political rag!
Nate Silver, no doubt.
Anyone who calls a 91% probability in an election where one of the candidates is not wearing an orange jumpsuit is a damned fool!
Moochelle.
The biggest loser will be anybody who bought hope and change four years ago and is buying it again!
May the heros of Benghazi be proud of how we vote today.
They gave their lives for us, now we need to give our votes for them.
Vote as if the lives of our Military Men and Women depended on it.
As a life long Hockey fan, please don’t give Bettman any more bright ideas.
How can any of these individuals who are already complete LOSERS lose more? Pelosi, Reid, and Obama are morally bankrupt and Silver is completely in the tank for Obama. You can’t take more from those that already have zero...negative numbers don’t work with LOSERS.
Nate Silver will learn today that Statistics do lie and have little in common with sociology.
Reid will be the big loser after his whopper of “we won’t work with Romney” — as it may lead to him being ousted as Senate Leader (or minority leader) If not, then look for some Democrat Senators defecting to Independent.
Pelosi’s 15 minutes of fame ended 2 years ago so who cares about her.
Whoever has the “most to lose” will be the biggest loser.
I don’t know who that might be if it’s not Obama.
But ALL those named will not lose anything they’ve managed
to accumulate during their political careers, they’ll just lose their effective careers, which will be coming to an end right about now, anyway.
I don’t care who is the biggest loser today as long as it isn’t America.
If Obma wins we are in for some dark days, (No pun intended).
The media.
I HOPE Harry Reid is the biggest loser. We need the senate.