There are a number of states that can do that who've just never bothered.
I was bookmarking this until I realized that FR will be down.
Count on it.
That’s interesting. Thanks for the work and for posting it.
Another thing you’ve forgotten....in at least 20 major cities in swing states demands will be made to keep the polls open late because...well,you know the drill.OH,NC,VA,CO,NV are just a few states where these demands will be made.And we all know that they’ll all be granted because “sympathetic” judges will already have been alerted.
I’m more upbeat and don’t believe it will be nearly this close - in fact I believe that New York and New Jersey may be in play.
Yes I’ve been drinking, but I’ve been thinking about the impact of this storm and firmly believe it will change the way that things could progress in those states.
I also think that things are much more likely to go our way early in a number of the states - yes the alphabet media will not be inclined to report it, but if the SOSs put their numbers out on their websites they won’t be able to suppress it. I have a strange feeling that the one maine district may be the first real indicator - if that goes to Mitt then it’ll be a quick/short night no matter what the “calls” are.
But again...I’ve been drinking :)
It all depends on, of course, what is really happening in IA, NH, WI, NV, and OH, and while I'm not optimistic about NV, the networks may have trouble if several of these start breaking the same way simultaneously.
That's said - among other thoughts:
"3:00AM - Romney has about a 5,000 vote lead in OH with 100% in, but the networks other than FOX won't declare him the winner. The lawyers parachute in and we get a repeat of 2000."
Tell me if there have been other developments, but the problem here is that there is a very real possibility in Ohio of 100K to 200K votes being cast as provisional ballots because of the silly practice of sending absentee ballot applications to every single Ohioan.
If you haven't followed this silliness: Because not all people who requested absentee ballots will have used them, when they show up to vote, they will only be allowed to cast a provisional ballot, which will not be opened until 10 days post the election ... it first must be established that they didn't cast an absentee ballot if they had requested one.
Personally, I believe Romney carries Ohio by 3 or more points - likely making the provisionals immaterial, but even with that, I suspect a huge number of provisionals which, were it not for the fact that Romney will have won enough electoral votes from other states, would delay the outcome and leave America in SoreLosermanian lurch.
If Romney is only up by 5000, then you can be sure that they will need to count the provisionals - I believe a wait of 10 days - since presumably the large majority are valid votes by people who had ordered absentees but never sent them in.
Am I wrong?
great post. lets hope that is how it goes down
This is a well thought out presentation, so regardless of its accuracy, I’d at least like to commend the author for its degree of detail.
I remain hopeful, and somewhat bullish, that Romney ends up above 300 electoral votes, so the teams of lawyers landing in Columbus can all pound sand.
Project it for November 7, 2012 at 12:01 a.m. EST.
My prediction: We won't know the winner until Nov. 18 -- and even then it will be contested by the losing side [repeat of Florida 2000]
The Ohio provisional ballots will be under lock and key...hmm...who's going to have "access" to those votes????
The Democratic machine is already working overtime to bump the # of Ohio provisional voters...the more provisional votes, the more that the state would not be called for Romney...
Also, the Dems would find all kinds of way to challenge provisional votes not being counted in the Nov. 16-17 count of them...
The MSM's gonna love the ratings...and the Obamaites will love the potential Ohio "end-runs" in play...
My prediction: We won't know the winner until Nov. 18 -- and even then it will be contested by the losing side [repeat of Florida 2000]
The Ohio provisional ballots will be under lock and key...hmm...who's going to have "access" to those votes????
The Democratic machine is already working overtime to bump the # of Ohio provisional voters...the more provisional votes, the more that the state would not be called for Romney...
Also, the Dems would find all kinds of way to challenge provisional votes not being counted in the Nov. 16-17 count of them...
The MSM's gonna love the ratings...and the Obamaites will love the potential Ohio "end-runs" in play...
Someone needs to do some homework either on election rules or time zones.
Is this Eastern Standard Time now or after Daylight Savings Time goes into effect this weekend?
What a pathetic exercise in thinking inside of the box. Sounds like parksstp has read one too many articles about how Romney can “eek out” a win.
Sorry, not buying it. All signs point to a wave election. But here’s more evidence that some people are just too insecure to read the writing on the wall.
Because Romney will be ahead for the first few hours, I confidently predict that the MSM will “magnanimously” refuse to call ANY states until ALL are done voting (so as not to diminish West Coast votes for Obama, of course).
Ping for Later Thanks