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barky will win DC by 80+ points

Not 80, but close. It will be very interesting to see how much longer that assumption holds true, however. The demographic changes in DC are pretty jaw-dropping. Huge areas that were "diverse" are now actually diverse. But, of course, these are largely Montgomery county types, so it may not make a difference.

I did witness an interesting conversation a few days ago, however. An off-duty cop (AA) was outside a bar, talking with an AA bouncer, and a mixed group. He told everyone he was voting for Romney. (I know him a little -- he wasn't joking). The AA bouncer said he was thinking the same thing. An AA patron, and a couple of young white females seemed a little shocked. I noticed a couple of other patrons nodding their heads.

On the basis of that conversation, I will put the Obama margin at 70% as opposed to 75.