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To: sam_paine
You are right and are even more dense, or you deliberately not reading, if you aren't getting this: IT IS ACROSS EVERY SIGLE COUNTY. No, one county cannot predict another but when ALL counties are showing similar percentage movement--- downward by Ds and way up for Rs --- then a sensible person would simply look at numbers and trends, which tell (SO FAR) an incredible story of polls being horribly off if they use anything short of a R+1 turnout (at minimum).

Now, I think relly that you are not dense but your prejudices are clouding your judgment. Comparing 2012 to 2008 shows so far a sea change in R and D turnout.

26 posted on 10/02/2012 11:23:28 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS; Cruising For Freedom
LS: Now, I think relly that you are not dense but your prejudices are clouding your judgment. Comparing 2012 to 2008 shows so far a sea change in R and D turnout.

Indeed. There could be a sufficient sea change from 2008 for a Romney win, and their could be an insufficient sea change in which he would lose.

I'm not sure what prejudices would be clouding me...btw. That I was nearly thrown off FR by JimRob for DARING to support Romney before JimRob changed his mind? I'd love to see Romney pull this out. I hope he does. But the dark clouds to that silver lining is that it will be generations before we can ever get back to 1984 because if this election is close enough to dither over these extrapolations where a near dictator incompetent is still winning anywhere, then yeah, I think it's not something to celebrate or be optimistic about. It's not the discovery of a hidden gem, it's the realization that we're in a collapsed mineshaft.

Cruise: There is nothing bad that can be spun out of these numbers, unless you wish to make a case of how the Independents might trend D or if a large percentage of those Republicans are from Operation Chaos.

Yes, that is the point. I'll repeat: if this election is still close enough to dither over these extrapolations where a near dictator incompetent is still winning anywhere, then yeah, I think it's not something to celebrate or be optimistic about.

Either we lose in a majority win for a marxist incompetent dictator, or we squeak by a win with pockets of wild enthusiasm for a marxist incompetent dictator ex, while Romney-elect will be jeered and smeared for his entire term by a fifth column press.

Other than that, how was the play Mrs. Lincoln?!

27 posted on 10/02/2012 11:42:35 AM PDT by sam_paine (X .................................)
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