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To: Gay State Conservative
I'm sorry, but I really don't agree. The true Obama believers are still going to vote for him, but they are not enough. Bill Clinton couldn't even garner 50% of the popular vote as an incumbent in 1996, and the economy wasn't in shambles. To win, Obama needed independents and middle-class swing voters. He's going to have a hard time winning those this time around. He's a known commodity at this point, and has a record that is hard to defend with all but the dyed in the wool liberal faithful.

Bill Clinton took a big political hit from Hillary's health care attempts, and she is highly polarizing. Yes, she may still be able to excite some feminists and Clinton Camelot voters, but it would be very hard for her to win at the top of the ticket this year, let alone as a last minute replacement on a ticket that features a guy that many independents have had it with.

I never underestimate the ability of the voting public to gloss over the details and vote as though they were watching American Idol, but I also believe that people vote their best interest, and a large and growing number of people don't believe that Obama is in their best interest.

What would Hillary's message be? We're going to change things from the way they've been done the last 4 years? How's that gonna sit with Obama, and how does that sway people to vote for a ticket that features him at the top? If she says ‘we still have work to do. Let us complete it’, that just tells everyone that she's onboard with a continuation of the Obama approach. Not a very comforting thought for a growing number of people.

In fact, my suggested approach for the Romney campaign if this were to ever happen would be to play exactly that angle. ‘Are we now going to do it Hillary's way? Then why are the democrats running Obama at the top of the ticket? Where was her advice over the past 4 years when the economy was floundering, the debt was increasing, and people were suffering? If she had good advice, and the President didn't listen to her, why will he listen now?’

Just my humble opinion.

96 posted on 08/30/2012 6:06:42 PM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: pieceofthepuzzle
The problem with your reasons for Hillary not running is that they're based on rational thinking. Remember, we're dealing with voters who in 2006, with unemployment at 4.5% and dropping and the DOW at 12,000 and rising, voted the GOP Congress out because they allowed the MSM to convince them how bad everything was. Two years later, with the Dems in control of Congress and economy tanking, the US auto industry collapsing in large part because they (the voters) weren't buying their products, voters allowed the MSM to convince them to blame Bush and elect an inexperienced first term Senator to fix everything.

Now, with Hillary joining Obama's ticket, will most voters think it through as you have, or will they think "Hey, remember how great things were when Clinton was President? Let's go back to that!" That's why I keep saying we need to have answers for "Clinton's economy" ready.

98 posted on 08/30/2012 6:25:25 PM PDT by TwelveOfTwenty (Ho, ho, hey, hey, I'm BUYcotting Chick-Fil-A)
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