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Help me understand why Mitt is slipping in Rasmussen Polls (Vanity)
Me

Posted on 08/19/2012 7:56:32 AM PDT by AdamBomb

One would think that after a full week of Ryan and Romney campaigning strong that they would have maintained a lead in the Rasmussen poll.

For the life of me I do not understand how the kenyan can all of a sudden be up 2 points for 3 days in a row.

Any thoughts?


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; cuzheisaliberal; homosexualagenda; kenyanisgone; proabortion; rasmussen; romney; romneycare; youdidntbuildthat
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To: AdamBomb
"..why?"
...oversampling of 'Rats in the poll.

21 posted on 08/19/2012 8:12:07 AM PDT by skinkinthegrass (WA DC E$tabli$hment; DNC/RNC/Unionists...Brazilian saying: "$@me Old $hit; w/ different flie$" :^)
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To: AdamBomb

Its august and people are on vacation not answering their phones.


22 posted on 08/19/2012 8:12:24 AM PDT by Walkingfeather
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To: AdamBomb

The most telling statistic is that Zero still only scores in the mid 40’s. As the incumbent, if the election were held today, he would probably score not much higher than that. In other words, the current Rasmussen poll is not worrisome at this time.


23 posted on 08/19/2012 8:12:32 AM PDT by Sam Clements
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To: babble-on

The change is so slight that it is not statistically significant.

True but the scary thing is the that Ryan never really got a good bounce that most VP’s get when announced. That COULD be a problem.


24 posted on 08/19/2012 8:13:38 AM PDT by napscoordinator (Attention Republican National Convention voters....Santorum/Bachmann 2012! Dump liberal Romney NOW!)
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To: AdamBomb
The bounce is going to happen after the Republican National Convention--especially people now increasingly know that Obama is trying to deliberately bring the USA to second-rate status.

And don't forget that the Romney/Ryan team has yet to officially enunciate their income tax policy. I would not be surprised that they would seriously look at a highly-simplified tax code akin to what Steve Forbes proposed in 1996--a proposal that could fundamentally change the economy of the USA for the better thanks to way lower yearly compliance costs and way more encouragement of savings and capital investment in the USA.

25 posted on 08/19/2012 8:13:49 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's economic cure)
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To: tsowellfan
Let us talk about unemployment numbers !


26 posted on 08/19/2012 8:14:41 AM PDT by timestax (Why not drug tests for the President AND all White Hut staff ? ? ?)
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To: AdamBomb

It’s been the trend that Obama does better on the weekends and once Monday rolls around Romney does better - hard to describe why. The beset polls I see are crowd attendance and RnR are winning that poll BIG.


27 posted on 08/19/2012 8:16:27 AM PDT by LRoggy (Peter's Son's Business)
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To: tsowellfan; All

Polls are taken to tell you how you should vote and to give the ruling efete talking heads something to act expert about.

Ravenstar


28 posted on 08/19/2012 8:16:44 AM PDT by Ravenstar (Reinstitute the Constitution as the Ultimate Law of the Land --Cain 2012)
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To: cripplecreek
.

Defeat Barack Obama ...

"How" ?

DUMP MYTH ROMNEY ... the Celestial God-Child from Planet Kolob in the Constellation Cancer ...



Myth Romney CANNOT-CANNOT-CANNOT defeat Obama.

Period.



.
29 posted on 08/19/2012 8:17:33 AM PDT by Patton@Bastogne (Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin will DEFEAT the Obama-Romney Socialist Gay-Marriage Axis of Evil)
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To: o2bfree
Its simple folks. They’re setting Mitt up to get a big bounce after the convention.

Yeah and Obama's "intentionally limiting the audiences at the rallies".

I don't buy it.The higher the number now the higher it will be during that "bounce" you claim Romney's trying to suppress until after the convention.

My advice to the RomneyBots is: You had better get his numbers up as high as possible now. One of the October surprises is going to be "Romney's Flip Flips". They have the videos all ready to go. (Romney vs Kennedy debates)

30 posted on 08/19/2012 8:17:58 AM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: napscoordinator

The most effective argument Mittens can make on the tax return crap, he’s chosen to avoid.
He says he’s not releasing any more returns. Fine. But, at least throw it back in 0bama’s face. It should be: “I’m not releasing any more tax returns, much like Barak 0bama is not releasing any of his birth, education, college, or selective service records.”

But, then...we are talking about Mittens...


31 posted on 08/19/2012 8:18:19 AM PDT by PubliusMM (RKBA; a matter of fact, not opinion. 01-20-2013: Change we can look forward to.)
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To: Caipirabob

That’s what I notice here in my corner of Texas. The desire to remove Obama is at a fever-pitch intensity. But by the same token, no one I encounter remotely likes or trusts Romney. Makes for a peculiar dichotomy.


32 posted on 08/19/2012 8:20:36 AM PDT by greene66
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To: PubliusMM
Fine. But, at least throw it back in 0bama’s face. It should be: “I’m not releasing any more tax returns, much like Barak 0bama is not releasing any of his birth, education, college, or selective service records.”

Exactly! Get it over already. Make a deal with Obama. Tell him to unseal all of his records and you will release the tax returns - but not until. End of story.

Obama's acting as if he is the Washington outsider, the Republicans have the majority in both Houses and Romney is the one running for re-election.

That's what I call running a terrible campaign.

Mark Levin's orange juice can would have been beating Obama in the polls by now given the economic situatation.

33 posted on 08/19/2012 8:25:17 AM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: tsowellfan
it could easily be assumed that Obama (and not Romney) is the incumbent.

That's because Obama IS the incumbent, and not Romney.

34 posted on 08/19/2012 8:26:23 AM PDT by Yashcheritsiy (Science puts you on the moon, atheism puts you in the gulag)
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To: AdamBomb

This has me scratching my head, too. On Monday of last week... two days after bring Ryan on board, Romney jumped to +4. Now he`s -2 and at his lowest level of support (43%) since March.

Are the sheeple getting worried the gub`mint gravy train might be lightening the load?

America has no excuses this time. Consider Nov. 6 to be an IQ test.


35 posted on 08/19/2012 8:28:08 AM PDT by ScottinVA (If Obama is reelected, America will deserve every mockery that follows.)
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To: AdamBomb

Lies...damned lies...statistics...polls.


36 posted on 08/19/2012 8:30:31 AM PDT by RightOnline (I am Andrew Breitbart!)
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To: Yashcheritsiy
That's because Obama IS the incumbent, and not Romney.

Well, I meant it the other way around. Romney should not be on the defensive as if he's trying to justify this recession of his. It's Obama's recession. He and his party own it.

37 posted on 08/19/2012 8:30:39 AM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: ScottinVA
America has no excuses this time. Consider Nov. 6 to be an IQ test.

If America chooses Obama, the buck stops at Romney and the RINOs that helped nominate him.

If America votes against Romney, it means he ran a terrible campaign.

38 posted on 08/19/2012 8:33:41 AM PDT by tsowellfan (Voting for Obama/Biden is like purposely swallowing two tapeworms)
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To: ScottinVA

The drop for Mitt is more surprising to me than the slight bump Obama is seeing. He’s still low for an incumbent and rose to his high watermark for the summer. Mitt dropped below his low watermark if he hit 43%. There is something different. It will be interesting to see if this trend stays during the week.

It may be statistical noise...some areas of the country are going back to school, some are in vacation time. I also wonder if there was a change in the methodology. Doesn’t seem like anything that occurred this week would have impacted the race this week.


39 posted on 08/19/2012 8:36:14 AM PDT by ilgipper
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To: greene66

Yep that is true. Nobody likes Romney or Obama around here.


40 posted on 08/19/2012 8:37:11 AM PDT by GeronL (The Right to Life came before the Right to Pursue Happiness)
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