Santorum would not have put PA in play, the guy is HATED here for good reason, he wasn’t sent packing by nearly 20 points for no reason folks.
Now, with that said, Romney will likely win PA.. in fact Romney will likely win MI as well.
There are only 2 rust belt states that Obama will carry.. MN and IL.
Obama has utterly alienated and disenfranchised the blue dog democrats that populate the rust belt. Now they aren’t going to all abandon him, but this is a HUGE voting block, and many of them have been utterly betrayed by the democrats and Obama and will not be voting for him in the fall.
The Blue Dogs don’t show up and vote hard for a Democrat, the democrat can’t win any state in the rust belt or south, and Obama and his administration have done everything in their power to spit in the face of this group.
There is no calculus where Obama wins re-election. In fact, I don’t see any way he gets over 42-43% of the national vote at best.
Romney will likely win PA.. in fact Romney will likely win MI as well.
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I predicted on another thread earlier that Romney WILL carry Michigan. I also believe that he WILL carry Wisconsin. But, PA? Nah; not buying it. Every year we get teased with the “possibility that PA will go Republican in the Presidential Race”. This year, I’m not buying it; not getting my hopes up. It ain’t happening; unless there is a major flood in Philadelphia and the ‘burbs on Nov. 6.