no, there’s no decisisive edge for Republicans.
We’ve got yet another RINO. Which helps us with moderates, independents, but that’s offset by the base that wits home as they did with McCain. ANd let’s face it, no matter who Romney picks for VP, it won’t be as good as Palin was in ‘08.
And you’re right...I’m afraid we’ve passed the tipping point in this country, there are simply more stupid people on the dole now then there are responsible hard working people and they’re breeding and adding more future leeches to the voting pool. WIth dead people pets and illegals voting, it’s going to be a tough climb for Romney, with the media in zerrhoids back pocket.
Sadly, I think we’re in for 4 more years.
On a high note, he’s so arrogant and clueless, he might just get himself into a corner he can’t get back out of, and the earlier the better. Poetic justice would be an impeachment, or at the very least hog-tying himself to a scandal he can’t overcome like Sweet WIlliam did with Lewinsky, ensuring a legacy he never saw coming!
I think I shared neuron-for-neuron precisely your (I’ll call it) pessimistic outlook until maybe a month ago. Now, I think 0bama loses, and maybe in a landslide.
Now neither of us can predict the future, but in terms of what you mentioned about “happenstance” events...such an event could sink Romney as easily as it could sink 0bama, maybe even easier. Could also benefit either. So I have to discard that as a consideration factor. Romney, of course, could blow a fart and if it escaped his sacred garmnet, the entire media would be on his case. 0bama could drive the presidential limo over a group of visiting children and the press would cover for him.
The large swathes of stupid people, I believe more and more of them (though certainly not a majority) are waking up to the notion that there is utterly flaming nothing for them if things continue as they are. This, I think, is a very ripe area for party conversion. If it’s done right. And I have some hope that it may occur that way, because Romney appears to be running a skilled campaign...in certain dimensions. Not all the dimensions *I* would like. But a good RINO campaign. Time will tell: I think things will definitely get unbelievably strange closer to the elections. In the meantime, I believe Romney is warming up this segment, the convertible stupids. Frankly, I think that’s why his efforts seem so lackluster to conservatives at this juncture. I think he is very slowly educating people who see no future as to how they could, and there could be a future, if the economy was revving again. They have all lived through those types of times. They are going to have get used to the idea that some people, in a good economy, are going to have more money than they do. And those people, you damn well better HOPE they have more money than you do, because if they don’t you don’t have a job. Ergo, hating them is not intelligent. One is better of sucking up to them, to be blunt. We see these things as self-evident, but many can not, or do not. And I think Romney is trying build an educational type of base with which to convince them that they are better off with a functioning economy. First he has to cure them of their childish envy. We see the admin bringing this Bain Capital thing up again, that’s why I am talking about it.
I think there is a reverse-Democrat effect going on, in that the Dems, who are masters of stitching together these incredibly disparate and motley groups and sub-groups of people, are going to see (they’re not seeing it now; I’m hoping it will be in their post-mortem) little fractions and little fractions of these subgroups erode away. It will not convert large numbers, there will always be a hardcore of unshakable 0bama fans. But I doubt that they will turn out in the enthusastic numbers was saw in ‘08.
Which leaves the Republican “show up at the polls” rate as a very, very serious element. That’s obviously been discussed on FR ad nauseum, so I won’t delve.