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Italy is trapped in a monetary Völkerkerker
The Telegraph ^ | 3/19/2012 | Ambrose Evans-Pritchard

Posted on 03/19/2012 3:31:11 PM PDT by bruinbirdman

Another month, another blow for Italy.

Industrial orders fell 7.4pc in January, according to ISTAT. Domestic orders fell 7.6pc.

Output fell 4.9pc, as you can see from this chart:

This follows the release of construction data on Friday showing a 10.9pc fall in output.

This debacle was entirely predicted by monetary data six to nine months ago, as you can see:

The M3 money data is at last improving very slightly (ie, it is collapsing less fast) but M1 is falling ever faster. We’ll see how that plays out.

I wish premier Mario Monti all the best. He is one Europe’s great gentlemen. Yet I fail to see how his labour reforms can – under current macro-policies – pull the country out of its downward slide before the debt trajectory blows out of control.

By all means repeal Article 18 of the labour code, which restricts redundancies for economic reasons, always bearing in mind that two labour reformers have been assassinated by neo Red Brigades since the late 1990s for venturing into these waters. But don’t expect such supply side reforms to bear fruit for many years.

"Are we really sure that a recession is the right moment to carry out such social reforms?" asks Tito Boeri, a professor of labour economics at Milan’s Bocconi University. "To carry out reforms a times of stress, you

(Excerpt) Read more at blogs.telegraph.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Conspiracy; Government; Politics
KEYWORDS: eucrisis; italycrisis

1 posted on 03/19/2012 3:31:16 PM PDT by bruinbirdman
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To: bruinbirdman

When will I be able to buy one of those FIAT 500’s for under $1000?


2 posted on 03/19/2012 3:46:43 PM PDT by Neidermeyer
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To: bruinbirdman
Italy is trapped in a monetary Völkerkerker

Uh, okay ...

It sounds like that ought to mean "avalanche" or "earthquake" or "rollercoaster," but the only definition I can find is "prison house of peoples" ...

No matter, the umlauts alone are terrifying enough ...

3 posted on 03/19/2012 4:07:27 PM PDT by x
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To: bruinbirdman

Wow. Pritchard is in high-Keynesian-dudgeon today.


4 posted on 03/19/2012 4:10:46 PM PDT by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: x
Völkerkerker (dungeon of nationalities--"prisonhouse of nations" has also been used) is a term that was applied to the Austro-Hungarian Empire and also Czarist Russia and the Soviet Union. Evans-Prichard is reviving it to describe the European Union.
5 posted on 03/19/2012 4:38:37 PM PDT by Fiji Hill (Io Triumphe!)
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