There's real potential here for a candidate that doesn't lead with Social Issues.
Gingrich has been up and down the state a couple of times recently. Romney has been here.
Both Santorum and Paul have virtually ignored this state and it's 169 delegates.
169 delegates. 172 if you count the at-large.
I haven't seen any polling on CA yet, but what I hear in my little bubble:
1. Gingrich well liked and admired
2. Romney uninspiring, but will do in a pinch.
3. Paul - wingnut. 4. Santorum - wingnut.
California's delegates are mostly chosen winner-take-all by Congressional district. It doesn't make a lot of sense to focus there now because if one guy is clearly winning by then, he'll mop up.
Romney will run statewide -- between moderates and Mormons, he has a huge advantage.
Ron Paul is going to be very focused on a dozen or so of the liberal-white-majority districts in the Bay Area and LA with very few Republicans, a disporportionate share of which are libertarian-leaning ... probably will lose most to Romeny but could pick up a few.
Gingrich, if he's still in, should be focused an a dozen or so more conservative districts away from the coasts, which are mostly white and relatively light in Mormons.
Santorum, if he's still in, is going to be working the same districts as Gingrich, maybe with a focus on the half-dozen or so districts with a meaningful number of Hispanic Republicans who might go for him on the Catholic identity vote.