Interesting as to the vagaries of polling- if only cell phones were included-- Ron Paul leads (Last par. of article) Internals at link.
Newt will rise again.
Good news. GO NEWT GO!
I think it’s cool that Newt’s home state wants him. And if Newt wins Georgia, I will smile with him.
Though this caught my eye from above:
“Compared to a SurveyUSA tracking poll 3 weeks ago, Gingrich is down 6 points, Romney is down 9 points, Santorum is up 15 points.”
Perhaps Willard should let Rick and Newt go one on one ( :
Yup, he will.
First, this is bad news for conservatives, because if Romney ends up over 20%, he’ll get statewide delegates. IF he gets pushed below 20%, he gets no delegates.
Within each district, if the candidate doesn’t get 50%, the delegates split 2 for 1st, one for 2nd — so it’s important for Santorum to end up in 2nd place over Romney in each district, so Romney gets shut out of delegates.
Newt only has to make up five points on Romney in Oklahoma to take second place from him.
Four percent will move him into third place, past Paul, in Tennessee. He will need to double his tally to get the 20% needed for any delegates. This would also move him past Romney, at 17%. He would have to take 10% of the 14% undecided, or pull it from elsewhere to do this.
Ten points in Ohio leaves him two short of second place (Romney has 29 to his 17.)
Something major could happen, I suppose. In any case, Newt has a lot of work ahead of him simply to get to second. If he can pull off any other state than the expected Georgia on Super Tuesday, that could help him.