I like your thesis, but I’m confused about the poll numbers. The ones that I could find through the links for each state listed are mostly a few weeks old going back as far as the beginning of December. Do we have polling data that show that Newt is still maintaining that kind of strength in the last few days?
| Poll | Date | Sample | Romney | Gingrich | Santorum | Paul | Perry | Huntsman | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/18 - 1/5 | -- | 27.7 | 22.3 | 15.7 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.3 | Romney +5.4 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 1/5 - 1/5 | 750 LV | 27 | 18 | 24 | 11 | 5 | 2 | Romney +3 |
| CNN/Time | 1/4 - 1/5 | 485 LV | 37 | 18 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 1 | Romney +18 |