But didn’t I read the deadline for some primaries is as early as mid-October?
Some have posted Utah as Oct. 15, but that seems to be in conflict. The Utah Lt. Gov website list the date as Jan. 15, 2012. Other dates coming up shortly for ballot access are:
Oct. 28, New Hampshire
Oct. 31, Florida
Nov. 1, South Carolina
So time still exist to file for these early dates. You can miss them and still win but I don’t think you’d want to miss FL and SC. NH will probably go to a liberal anyway.
“So time still exist to file for these early dates. You can miss them and still win but I dont think youd want to miss FL and SC. NH will probably go to a liberal anyway.”
RFK didn’t announce until March 27th.
Palin’s advantages:
1, not running against an incumbant.
2, former VP candidate from the previous election.
3, name recognition. Most people already know her.
4, political experience.
Similar to RFK in these regards. However:
Humphrey was well ahead in delegates, even before RFK entered the race. He did manage to win in Indiana in May of that year, and in California.
Palin could wait and pass delegates by, but it gets harder the longer she waits. And then there’s the risk of a candidate solidifying the field.
Basically, I would put her ahead of everyone out there right now, but her advantages are eroding as time passes.