Thanks. Sounds like the undecideds are breaking Turner’s way as Welprin, being a Dem, is considered the “incumbent”.
If Turner wins, do you think this seat will be nixed?
On another subject, did you see Luntz’s focus group last night? Combo of Dem/GOP and almost unanimously not impressed with Obama’s proposal and also even Dems on the panel were not sure they would vote for him again. They most likely will, but it’s not going to enthusiastic. Only one lone voice was brave enough to say that Obama hasn’t gotten enough support and we should give him more. Verdict of the others was FAIL.
I was struck by how many (by a show of hands) thought that government caused the recession and that there’s nothing that government could do to improve things. Many said they wanted government to get out of the way and leave us alone.
One small sample, to be sure, but a very angry and disgusted group they were.
Lightbulbs are going on in peoples’ heads, hopefully.
I think that large swaths of the Queens portion of the district may well be portioned off among Democrats Crowley and Ackerman, but the Orthodox Jewish neighborhoods in Brooklyn (which are next door to similar neighborhoods in Nadler’s NY-08) may not have any takers. Nadler may prefer to get out of Brooklyn completely, which would result in a heavily Orthodox Jewish district being created in Brooklyn that takes in the Brooklyn portions of the NY-08 and NY-09 (both of which voted for Bush in 2004 and McCain in 2008). While one seat south of the Westchester County bottleneck will have to go, I think that it’s likelier that they’ll get rid of one of the Long Island CDs (the NY-06 will need to grab black voters from Nassau County) and that would leave a district in that part of Brooklyn.