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To: Texas Fossil
Long term weather prediction is easy. You just take a look at the cycles shown in the Vostok cores

The big interglacials are usually about 10,000 years long. We are already 5,000 years OVERDUE for the next down turn into colder weather.

That could mean 1 of 3 things. (1) That the whole Ice Age thing is over after 20 some cycles, or (2) We somehow just skipped the end of the interglacial, schmoozed over through that to the first interstadial and are basking in a fool's paradise of undeserved warmth, or (3) we manage to gain control of atmospheric CO2 and other greenhouse gases and are keeping the old homestead warm despite nature's worst.

I think the Younger Dryas (an extra period of glaciation and cold in the Northern hemisphere that started a couple of thousand years into the interglacial) created a condition where we actually warmed up faster than normal and are just staying warmer longer, and that pushes back the start of the next glacial period a few thousand years.

Remember, a thousand years isn't even a blink of the eye in geological time!

24 posted on 01/28/2011 7:58:30 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: muawiyah
we manage to gain control of atmospheric CO2 and other greenhouse gases and are keeping the old homestead warm despite nature's worst.

I am a sunspot watcher from way back. You blew the credibility for me when you mentioned greenhouse gasses. Don't buy any part of the globul warming bunk. I am not a climatologist, but my family has farmed in this county for 110+ years. Weather patterns are variable, but man will never predict them accurately (exception- very short term).

Could we have a global food crisis? Yes, especially if a bunch of greenie weinee tree huggers get control. The fools at the UN and the greenies could starve a bunch of us, but I choose to not participate. Country boys can survive, and I will feed my family. We could be 100% self sufficient again, but at this point it is not worth it.

32 posted on 01/28/2011 8:17:20 PM PST by Texas Fossil (Government, even in its best state is but a necessary evil; in its worst state an intolerable one)
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