You can say there are Rats in GOP areas, but you would be wrong. If they were GOP districts they would have flipped in ‘10.
The only guy of the 6 listed who is going to lose his seat is Critz. We lost a Rep in PA due to the census. His gerrymandered seat is going away for sure. It will be sucked up by all the “R’s” surrounding it.
CA will have its seats drawn by a multipartisan commission next time out. All bets are off for now.
IN - Republicans control the process - Donnelly didn’t win by much (48-47); the district could be redrawn to make it a lot harder for him.
MN - Walz didn’t win by much (50-44), but probably safe.
NY - Owens didn’t win by much (48-46) but should be favored next time out.
WV - Rahall won 55-45; Cook’s index weights presidential elections too heavily.