Perhaps, but it is the only evidence we have got.
By contrast, GOP moderates in Delaware are busy spinning their theories based purely on rank speculation, with no evidence to support htem whatsoever.
SO the only evidence we have shows that the Republican Party of Delaware needs to restructure and rebuild... not hide behind excuses of blaming one individual.
I disagree - it is not evidence at all. Both sides are merely speculating about the outcome of an event that never occurred to be observed - the exit poll ads no weight as it was a poll on something that they never actually had to make a decision on. We know that O’Donnell ran an embarrassingly poor campaign, which given the enormous amount of resources she had, cannot be blamed on anyone but her own campaign. The ‘GOP moderates’ are assuming Castle would have run a more effective campaign...but there is no way of knowing that as it didn’t happen. The fact he just sat back and thought he would coast to victory in the primary and did not tap his vast resources until very late in the game indicates he may have taken the same approach to the general election with his wide lead in the polls he was starting out with and then end up losing. We just don’t know, and there is nothing observable to analyze since the event never happened.