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To: Reaganite Republican
I have some experience in the region.

NK cannot win a war, we know that and they know that. But the harsh reality is that the North has virtually nothing to lose, and the South has everything to lose. It's like playing chicken when you're driving a new BMW and your opponent is driving an LTD. The economic damage that would be inflicted on Seoul and the ROK would take a generation to repair. The ROKs are too proud of their economy to even think about risking it... just look at how thrilled they were to become a member of the G20. There were ads on the radio and TV for almost a year leading up to the event.

NK’s goal #1 is survival of the regime. Not the country; KJI and the elites. If that's threatened in any way, I really think that all options are on the table for them.

It's all just political posturing from politicians that took some polls and are saying what the people want to hear. I don't believe for a minute that they'd actually pull the trigger.

20 posted on 12/13/2010 11:14:37 AM PST by Domalais
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To: Domalais
Welcome to Free Republic, and to the North Korean threads in particular.

We need more of your type here, weighing in with insight, rather than holding back and lurking.

I trust you have read us for some time?,

Again, welcome.....

21 posted on 12/14/2010 2:08:08 AM PST by AmericanInTokyo (**George W Bush** bears as much responsibility as CARTER, CLINTON and OBAMA over N. Korean nukes)
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To: Domalais

Thanks

Like the post says, no southern government can survive just sitting there like last time, and they need to at least provide some small deterrent

THEN get the Chinese on this... it’s certainly in their own interest to put a lid on the Kims, if not remove them- do a deal with the army, whatever

But just absorbing hits has the public up in arms...and it is a democracy


23 posted on 12/15/2010 6:14:31 AM PST by Reaganite Republican
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To: Domalais

BTW, I agree with everything you say except for the Norks have nothing to lose... the Kims have everything lose, and would promptly in any large scale war

I feel they would not scale up a conflict unless forced


24 posted on 12/15/2010 6:16:41 AM PST by Reaganite Republican
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