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To: RogerFGay

The issue comes down to meeting regulations, where the system or equipment is required to (1) be designed to properly perform its intended function under all foreseeable operating conditions and (2) be safe to a specified probability, based on the potential effects of failures that the system can contribute to.

Because of the autonomous learning of the AI system, the specific response to a given set of operating conditions cannot be identified before hand.

The current (and immediate future) answer to the second part of the regs is the application of a process-based discipline for developing software. Allowing autonomous self-modification by the software itself does not support this approach. The cert authorities will allow alternative methods, but are (very) unlikely to allow autonomous self-modification of software programs in the near future.

Part of the reason is the outcome of a previous experiment of AI, where a neural net was used to analyze satellite photos for hidden armor (tanks, etc.). The neural net was very successful on its training data - mostly from Germany.

But the net’s success plummeted when it was shown satellite photos of the desert.

They found out that the neural net had settled on cpunting the number of leaves/leafy trees it could see as a predictor of the presence of camouflaged armor - which doesn’t work in the desert.

The process of decision making, when civilian lives are on the line, is not yet ready to be delegated to leaf-counting programs! :)

Have a great day!


86 posted on 09/21/2010 12:41:58 PM PDT by MortMan (Obama's response to the Gulf oil spill: a four-putt.)
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To: MortMan

Part of my standard talk is that “it’s not yet time to fire all the engineers.” Who turned the sucker loose in the desert when it was only trained in the Black Forest? I’d a seen that one coming a thousand miles away.


87 posted on 09/21/2010 3:36:49 PM PDT by RogerFGay
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To: MortMan

I guess I’d have to ask - why wasn’t the experiment carried out by experts?


88 posted on 09/21/2010 3:48:21 PM PDT by RogerFGay
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To: MortMan

BTW: I could never get all that excited about neural nets.


89 posted on 09/21/2010 3:49:26 PM PDT by RogerFGay
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