Republicans Winning The House A Foregone Conclusion?

Flopping Aces ^ | 08-26-10 | Curt

[Starman417]

Yesterday we had "top" Democrats glumly admitting that they are likely to lose the house:

Top Democrats are growing markedly more pessimistic about holding the House, privately conceding that the summertime economic and political recovery they were banking on will not likely materialize by Election Day.

In conversations with more than two dozen party insiders, most of whom requested anonymity to speak candidly about the state of play, Democrats in and out of Washington say they are increasingly alarmed about the economic and polling data they have seen in recent weeks.

Than today you have "top" Democrat strategists singing another tune:

But the Democratic apocalypse isn't guaranteed just yet. In fact, senior Democratic strategists say they're not only likely to keep the House, but they believe the GOP won't come close to gaining the 39 seats they need to take over.

That's not to say Republicans have no chance of taking back the House. Indeed, for every argument Democrats make about their strengths, Republicans have a counterargument. But Democrats have a compelling case. Here are the four reasons Democrats shouldn't be counted out of the majority, and Republicans shouldn't start counting their chickens, quite yet:

The author lists money, turnout, and opposition research as the reasons they could keep the house. I don't YET see the turnout being edged out by Democrats and Conservatives do a pretty good job of opposition research also, so does it all come down to money?

Could be.

But the economy isn't going to get better in the next few months. In fact it will probably get worse. This will be the driving factor in the midterms and a bad economy is never a good thing for the party in power. Most especially a party that has control of everything.

So why the two different narratives in two days?

[samtheman]

NOTHING is a “foregone conclusion” and we better not EVER think that way.

Work like we’re 10 points behind in a race that’s life-and-death.

That’s the only way to overcome mediaFraud and voterFraud.

[paudio]

Don’t count your chicken before they are hatched. A lot of work still needs to be done.

[Ev Reeman]

Republicans, do not fall for this crap.

The dems are trying to lull you all into a false sense of security.

Don’t fall for it.

[JLAGRAYFOX]

I’ll tell what fellow Freepers and conservatives. Forget all this rosy talk and act like we are getting our butts whipped. Get out there and vote and get every kindred spirit on our side to get out and vote to totally destroy the Democrat Party. Every single poster on this site “Free Republic” should end their posting from now until election day with: “Get out and Vote on November 2, 2010 and totally destroy the “traitor, anti-American” Democrat party!!!” REMEMBER NOVEMBER!!!

[dalebert]

better take down harry too

[FrankR]

"Top Democrats are growing markedly more pessimistic about holding the House, privately conceding that the summertime economic and political recovery they were banking on will not likely materialize by Election Day. "

The MSM needs to chill with the WHINE. The dems were plainly warned a long time ago that if they passed that obamacare monstrosity, along with the stimulus and other America-killing legislation, that we would vote them out in November.

Well, they thought it was funny then, and celebrated with Peosi's "victory walk" with her mega-mallet, trolling for racists among the TEA party movement (which backfired on them BIG TIME).

To be forewarned is to usually to be fore armed...but the morlocks on the left kept on blowing their siren and waiting for lunch.

Well, November will be time to pay the Piper.

[taxcontrol]

While Im not 100% sure of that outcome is a foregone conclusion, it would be very nice to flip the Senate at the same time.

[Some Fat Guy in L.A.]

Clueless Joe says it won’t happen - that makes it a lock.