Moreover, if Obama is really in trouble in late 2010, you'll see Bloomberg get into the race to act as siphon on the independent and moderate voters to make sure the GOP can't get their votes. Bloomberg knows he can't win, but he'd spend a fortune to make sure a Republican couldn't win.
I think too many people don't understand the changing demographics in American politics. The country is getting darker. We saw that in 2008, and it will be even darker in 2012. For any Republican to win, they're going to have to get 60% (perhaps a touch more) of the white vote, and still do at least marginally better with minorities. That is going to be a challenge, no matter how unpopular Obama is as it's only been done one-time since 1976 (1984). That's just the practical reality. The talk of Obama not running for reelection is nonsense - utter nonsense.
I agree, Imam Soebarkah will run again if he can keep a lid on his BC. If vetted and forced to show a BC for a run, he bails out and instigates riots. That's what Community organizers do.
I must admit I had not yet considered that as a possibility. The Ross Perot strategy may be the only way Obama could be re-elected, but I think Bloomberg might end up drawing more from disgruntled Democrats than Republicans.
And as far as the minority demographics, Obama may have inadvertently cured many blacks of the romantic notion that a black president would solve a lot of societal problems. Hopefully his ineptness will result in minority voters no longer obsessing over skin color.
It could happen. (/Tenuta)