Historically, a dead heat in the generic ballot has meant a +2-3 pt advantage for Republicans.
even your favorite nemisis harry reid is safe
Really? Yet he is buried in the low 40's. Historically dangerously territory for an incumbent.
There is no real proof of this (healthcare repeal)
Rasmussen and Gallup.
A steady, if unspectacular 45% Strongly Approve rating is not "down the toilet" by a long shot, nor is a 55% Strongly Disapprove. Show me a steady 68% Strongly Disapprove and a 35% or lower Strongly Approve and you'll have an arguement.
There have never, ever been such numbers for any President. Even Jimmy Carter. Or Millard Fillmore. If you didn't already know that, you have no credibility.
If you wish to cry in your beer, sit on your ass and bitch and moan, it is certainly your right to do so.
But don't come in here with weak crap like that and expect to be taken seriously.