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To: Semper911
Then my next thought was, "How much is that costing me?"

Amtrak's Acela Express provides service to over 8000 passengers per day and is profitable.

It should be our objective to upgrade Amtrak's performance on the rest of its routes so that they too can be just as profitable as Acela!!!

94 posted on 07/26/2010 1:52:57 PM PDT by Willie Green ("Some people march to the beat of a different drum - and some people polka")
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To: Willie Green
It should be our objective to upgrade Amtrak's performance on the rest of its routes so that they too can be just as profitable as Acela!!!

If it is profitable, why involve the government? And why expand it to cover new areas across the country? If it was/is profitable, there should be investment capital galore just waiting to get in on the potential profit.

The sad fact is the reason it is not expanding via private investment is that it is probably not really profitable, but the feds cook the books so they can tout their success.

These are Electric Trains, and the wiring and transmission lines have to be somehow squirreled in to the existing cities, suburbs, and rural areas. Electricity is neither cheap nor "green". Somebody's burning coal somewhere so those trains can run "clean."

95 posted on 07/26/2010 2:48:03 PM PDT by Semper911 (When you want to rob Peter to pay Paul, you'll always have the support of Paul.)
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To: Willie Green; Semper911
Amtrak's Acela Express provides service to over 8000 passengers per day and is profitable.

Only because of bookkeeping accounting tricks like spreading the employee long-term benefits and track maintenance over the entire network. Amtrak counts only the direct daily cost against its ticket revenue for each line. It peanut-butters the balance across the entire network.

That's why every ticket sold by Amtrak LOSES $30+. And Amtrak's "profit" for that line (they claim about $40 per rider), at 8000 riders per day, STILL hasn't covered the $1.2 BILLION spent to install these trains. Let alone the ongoing maintenance and costs of this line. Capital costs are always ignored by train supporters.

They may want to ignore a few billion dollars on a single line, but that's the pie-in-the-sky financial lunacy that brought the US to its current crisis: ignoring the actual costs of building something, and trying to only worry about the ongoing operational costs. Those billions add up in a hurry!

Eight thousand passengers a day doesn't get you close to break-even on a new line. You have zero idea about the costs to do high speed rail. Pushing 150 MPH peak (and averaging 75 MPH - not much faster than driving) is the limit of existing rails in the US. If you want to speed it up, you need ALL NEW LINE. You'll spend (a documented) $170+ million per MILE. To upgrade the Acela Express (456 miles) you'd spend $77.5 BILLION to get it up to standards to support 200 MPH peak, and 120 MPH averages. And with 3 million riders a year, $40 per person in "profit", it would take over 6 CENTURIES to recoup the deployment costs alone.

Six hundred forty five years, to be precise.

Again, Willie, compare the ridership - 3 million per year on the Acela Express versus 90 million per year on the Guangzhou-Changsha (about the same distance) line. HUGE difference in what's needed to make it an economic reality. You can do a $15 billion line (the equivalent costs in China for their high speed rail lines) because you have 30 TIMES more riders. Suddenly that 645 YEAR payback timeline becomes a more realistic 10-12 years.

Economics is NEVER a strong suit for US high speed rail supporters. They cannot make any economic basis for their claims. It's all fantasy money, it's all fake. They have zero concept of costs, or time-value of money, of business or profit or expenses. "You have to spend your way out of a deficit" is an equivalent concept for these people...

99 posted on 07/26/2010 5:33:50 PM PDT by PugetSoundSoldier (Indignation over the Sting of Truth is the defense of the indefensible)
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